Southern Engines of Growth Guanghua Wan and Amelia Santos

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Presentation transcript:

Southern Engines of Growth Guanghua Wan and Amelia Santos UNU-WIDER Southern Engines of Growth A UNU-WIDER Project Guanghua Wan and Amelia Santos

Why This Project? Rapid growth of CIBS will alter the global balance of power => possible conflicts, international governance and political economy issues CIBS have had different political and economic settings as well as different reform/growth strategies => case for comparative studies drawing lessons/experience for each other Globalization of CIBS has implications (positive and negative) for developed and LDCs – what at stakes for individual countries (gains and losses, SR and LR, direct and indirect) What happens if CIBS particularly China suffer setback? Tremendous publicity on CIBS, but with insufficient analytical evidences Lack of systematic studies? (IDS, OECD, IADB, ADB...) WIDER will utilize its extensive research network to conduct a Systematic and Analytical Project

Research themes Southern Engines of Growth General studies Historical (socioeconomic and political) background and development prospects of CIBS, including potential setbacks in China and/or policy reversals in CIBS; Unhappy stories and happy stories Business cycles and cross-boarder risk transmission Commodity and Services Trade –competitive and complementary relationships New export and import opportunities Competition and complemetarity of trade growth Volatility in commodity prices: short and long run perspectives UNU-WIDER

Southern Engines of Growth UNU-WIDER Financial Resource Flows and Capital Markets CIBS as sources and recipients of foreign investments Volatility of financial flows: FDI, Portfolios, etc. Savings rate differences and implications for growth Exchange rate regimes and adjustments Balance of payments and capital account liberalization Political Economy and International Governance Opportunities, challenges and threats of CIBS growth Institutions and growth Energy and geopolitics

Southern Engines of Growth UNU-WIDER Project activities March 2, 2006 Brainstorming session UNU-New York UNA-USA September 2006 Management meeting To be determined. January 2007 Project conference / Plenary GDN Annual Conference, Beijing, China June /September 2007 Project meetings/Conferences Helsinki /Latin America/Africa?

Contributions to the Project Welcome Coming to project meetings with full funding by WIDER Write papers for the project with a fee paid by WIDER Inputs into our project management Recommendations and suggestions