New Stage II Review tests

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Presentation transcript:

New Stage II Review tests Elisabeth Rigler Michael Gager, Bernd Gugele, Elisabeth Kampel ETC-ACC (UBA-V) 14 June 2006

New or modified tests Cross pollutant test (additional sectors) Inventory comparison CLRTAP/NEC – UNFCCC IEF using the UNFCCC outlier tool

Data deadlines CLRTAP: March 10th 2006 NEC: February 28th 2006 UNFCCC: April 8th 2006

Cross pollutant test Certain pollutants and (sub)sectors Year: 2004 Comparison to average ratios for Eastern and Western Europe – not to any model

Cross pollutant test - design

Cross Pollutant Test - Results 1,7 - 6,3 0,2 - 0,8 13 - 22 0,03 - 0,04 93 – 4.336 9.106 - 147.560 4.524 - 121.139 1,2 – 13,3 1,9 – 9,43 1,1 – 5,9 1,2 – 4,6 0,01 – 0,9 2,5 – 30,0 2,8 – 2.265 EU 15 (without IT, ES, LU, GR) for emissions reported under CLRTAP

Cross Pollutant Test - Results 0,8 – 2,9 0,2 – 0,7 10,5 – 30,0 430 – 128.561 5.588 - 268246 9.434 - 606.489 1,2 – 3,5 1,4 – 3,8 1,1 – 2,2 1,2 – 2,3 0,9 EU 10 (without CY, MT) for emissions reported under CLRTAP

Inventory comparison CLRTAP/NEC – UNFCCC National totals Years: 1990-2004

Inventory comparison - results

Implied emission factor Key sources for Eastern and Western Europe 1990-2004 IEF = Emission/Activity Analysis with UNFCCC outlier tool Emission data reported under CLRTAP/NEC Most recent activity data reported under UNFCCC

UNFCCC outlier tool Used for analysis of GHG emission inventories reported under the Monitoring Mechanism Analysis of time series and comparison across countries Checks are performed manually

IEF (time series) CO emissions from 1A1a

IEF (Across countries) SOx emissions from 1A2a