Probability Spaces.

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Presentation transcript:

Probability Spaces

The data table below gives data for 103,870 women on their current and past marital status. If one of these women were chosen at random, the probability of finding a married woman between the ages of 18 and 29 is… P(18-29 & Married) = 7,842/103,870 ≈ .0755

P(Widow who is 65 and over) = 8,385/103,870 = P(Married) = 59,920/103,870 = P(30-64 years old) = 62,689/103,870 P(Divorced or 18-29) = 32,949/103,870 But how? P(Never married or 65 and over) = 39,783/103,870

Suppose you are choosing at random from only the married women P(Age 30-64) = 43, 808/59,920 =

G = Gianna is late for Stats Class S = Sydney is late for Stats class What event does this region represent? What do these represent? G not S = Gianna but not Sydney is late for class Sample Space G & S = They are both late for class S not G = Sydney but not Gianna is late for class N = Neither are late for class

A little bit of probability notation: P(G) = Probability that Gianna will be late for class P(GC) = P(not G) = Probability that Gianna is not late for class The subscript C stands for the complement of P(G) which means the opposite of G occurs P(S) = Probability that Sydney will be late for class P(SC) = P(not S) = Probability that Sydney is not late for class

G not S = Gianna but not Sydney is late for class P(G) = 0.4 P(S) = 0.3 P(G & S) = ? 0.12 P(G & SC) = P(G & not S) = ? 0.28 P(S & GC) = P(S & not G) = ? 0.18 P(N) = P(GC & SC) = ? 0.3 G not S = Gianna but not Sydney is late for class Sample Space G & S = They are both late for class 0.28 0.18 0.12 This needs updating for the new student names S not G = Sydney but not Gianna is late for class N = Neither are late for class 0.42

P(G not S) = 0.28 P(G & S) = 0.07 P(G) = ? 0.35 P(S) = ? 0.2 P(S & GC) = P(S not G) = ? 0.13 P(N) = P(GC & SC) = ? 0.45 G not S = Gianna but not Sydney is late for class Sample Space G & S = They are both late for class 0.28 0.13 0.07 S not G = Sydney but not Gianna is late for class N = Neither are late for class 0.52