A Time-to-Event Model for Acute Kidney Injury after Reduced-Intensity Conditioning Stem Cell Transplantation Using a Tacrolimus- and Sirolimus-based Graft-versus-Host.

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A Time-to-Event Model for Acute Kidney Injury after Reduced-Intensity Conditioning Stem Cell Transplantation Using a Tacrolimus- and Sirolimus-based Graft-versus-Host Disease Prophylaxis  José Luis Piñana, Alejandro Perez-Pitarch, Irene Garcia-cadenas, Pere Barba, Juan Carlos Hernandez-Boluda, Albert Esquirol, María Laura Fox, María José Terol, Josep M. Queraltó, Jaume Vima, David Valcarcel, Rafael Ferriols-Lisart, Jorge Sierra, Carlos Solano, Rodrigo Martino  Biology of Blood and Marrow Transplantation  Volume 23, Issue 7, Pages 1177-1185 (July 2017) DOI: 10.1016/j.bbmt.2017.03.035 Copyright © 2017 The American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 (A) Simulated AKI-free survival curves at different exposure levels. Simulations were based on patients receiving a melphalan-based conditioning regimen, with a related donor and exposed to tacrolimus trough concentrations ranging between 2 and 22 ng/mL. (B) Simulated AKI-free survival curves for different subgroups of patients. Simulations were based on patients receiving/not receiving a melphalan-based conditioning regimen, with a related/unrelated donor and exposed to tacrolimus trough concentrations of 7 ng/mL. Biology of Blood and Marrow Transplantation 2017 23, 1177-1185DOI: (10.1016/j.bbmt.2017.03.035) Copyright © 2017 The American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Kaplan-Meier visual predictive check plot. Blue line represents observed AKI-free survival data; green area represents 95% confidence interval of 200 simulated AKI-free survival curves based on the final model. (This figure is available in color online at www.bbmt.org.) Biology of Blood and Marrow Transplantation 2017 23, 1177-1185DOI: (10.1016/j.bbmt.2017.03.035) Copyright © 2017 The American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 (A) OS according to KDIGO staging severity grade of AKI. No AKI had 78% of OS probability versus 68% for grade 1, 50% for grade 2, and 30% for grade 3 (P < .0001). (B) OS according to “Grade 0-3 staging” severity grade of AKI. No AKI 78% of OS versus 62% for grade 1, 42% for grade 2, and 0% for grade 3 (P < .0001). (Semi-landmark plot illustrating impact of moderate to severe ARF on overall survival.) Biology of Blood and Marrow Transplantation 2017 23, 1177-1185DOI: (10.1016/j.bbmt.2017.03.035) Copyright © 2017 The American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Terms and Conditions