Forecasting the impact of technology on the citizen Tom Wills-Sandford Deputy Director General Intellect

Drivers Past Current & Future Processors Software Storage Software and Services Globalisation Mobility Networks The citizen Market convergence Energy Processors Storage

Some priorities for UK Next generation broadband Better understanding by government of the knowledge economy Skills – as never before! Innovation and government procurement

Predicting the future Past Moore’s, Wirth’s and Kryder’s ‘laws’ (Wirth: Software gets slower faster than hardware gets faster) 2007 If the technology of the parts is evolving so rapidly, what is the impact of the sum on citizens? Is there a law that forecasts the impact of technology on the citizen? Moore’s law drove engineers. Would a ‘technology impact’ law help drive our industry?`

Predicting the future – outputs and outcomes Mobility Always on Easier access to services Convergence Outcomes More multi-threading –’constant partial attention’ Wider & thinner social networks More visual Media producers and not consumers