DG REGIO B2-European Semester & Evaluation Annual Implementation. Reports (AIR) 2012 A progress report on 6 years of activity DG REGIO B2-European Semester & Evaluation

Outline Annual Implementation Reports (AIR) process Categorisation - Tracking the inputs Core Indicators – measuring the outputs Evaluation / conclusions

1. 2012 AIR process (ERDF) … still incomplete (@27/11/2013)…

2012 AIR process (ERDF) still incomplete 27/11/2013 (@14/10/2013)… Approving AIRs …. a slow process …. 202 (153) – Accepted 82% 16 (37) - With DG REGIO 28 (56) - With MA (Interrupted or rejected) Not all interruptions are linked to data. Stats exclude ESF and ETC programmes.

2. Project Selection annual trends Date EUR Billion % allocated 09/2009 93.4 27.1% 12/2009 90.8 26.4% 12/2010 181 52.2% 12/2011 244 70.4% 12/2012 291.5 83.9% Total Budget decided (2012) 346.7 100%

Project selection – 2011-2012

Project selection – 2011-2012 Main Messages 83.9% of total volume allocated to projects seems to low Varies from 68% to over 100% Static or very slow progress in many MS Strong progress in others – IT- BG Still data reliability issues Over programming in some programmes Mis-allocations … many corrected (2.6 bn in 1 programme !!)

Turning project selection to spending … (2012 vs 2012/2013 spend)

Turning project selection to spending … (2012 vs 2012/2013 spend) Project selection is not a guarantee of spending Some projects naturally take longer to mature and spend … but capacity is a real problem in many important programmes Co-financing Administrative and techncial capacity Beneficiaries N+2/3 is looming

Project selection by major theme – relative progress

Project selection by major theme –progress in Mn €

Project selection by major theme At this aggregate level differences between rates of project selection are reducing Still several sectors are clearly behind Energy – Rail - TA/ Capacity building Others are well ahead of average: Social Infrastructure – Tourism culture – Generic Business Support … over programming growing

3. Core Indicators - measuring outputs ERDF/CF Plausibility check by REGIO 84% of OPs judged as reporting plausibly Followed by manual corrections & analysis @14/10/2013 and @27/11/2013 Key weaknesses: Core Indicators not collected/used when relevant Inconsistent definitions and practices (Jobs, Km road, rail – REGIO excluding further work on some indicators) Reporting contracted not completed Units of measure (MW, Km, Km², ...) Quality control in OPs or Nationally

Ref. Core Indicator Sum of 2012 Unit   Aggregate jobs (composite of Codes 01, 06, 09, 35) 593,590 # 01 Jobs created 500, 674 04 Number of RTD projects 61,188 05 Number of cooperation project enterprises-research institutions 21,622 06 Research jobs created 20,755 07 Number of direct investment aid projects to SME 198,223 08 Number of start-ups supported 77,800 09 Jobs created in SMEs 262,038 11 Number of information society projects 21,754 12 Number of additional population covered by broadband access 5,049,965 34 Number of tourism projects 8,618 35 Number of jobs created in tourism 11,928

Ref. Core Indicator Sum of 2012 Unit 13 Number of transport projects 6,453 # 14 km of new roads 2,236 Km 15 km of new TEN roads 1,208 16 km of reconstructed roads 23,601 17 km of new railroads 305 18 km of TEN railroads 1,495 19 km of reconstructed railroads 2,369 22 Additional population served with improved urban transport 9,600,990 23 Number of renewable energy projects 29,358 24 Additional capacity of renewable energy production 2,431 MW

Ref. Core Indicator Sum of 2012 Unit 25 Additional population served by water projects 3,226,629 # 26 Additional population served by waste water projects 5,464,498 27 Number of waste projects 2,126 28 Number of projects on improvement of air quality 711 29 Area rehabilitated (km2) 576 Km² 31 Number of risk prevention projects 2,734 32 Number of people benefiting - flood protection measures 4,179,289 33 Number of people benefiting - forest fire protection and other 20,276,615

Ref. Core Indicator Sum of 2012 Unit 36 Number of education projects 19,043 # 37 Number of benefiting students 4,748,647 38 Number of health projects 3,798 39 Number of projects ensuring sustainability and improving the attractiveness of towns and cities 9,423 40 Number of projects seeking to promote businesses, entrepreneurship, new technology 3,829 41 Number of projects offering services to promote equal opportunities and social inclusion for minorities and young people 3,519 Total N° projects (composite) 366,825 Not aggregated - Codes 02, 03, 10, 20, 21, 30

Job creation – 593,590

Job creation (#01/06/09/35) Strengths and weaknesses : See Expert Evaluation report on your country: http://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/information/evaluations/index_en.cfm#1 Some important definitional issues (See WP#7 of 2009) corrected in 2012 DATA … Some OPs report … Jobs not relevant for supports delivered Variable reporting All jobs under #01 – Total Job creation – with no breakdown of RTD/ SME/ Tourism Some OPs only report under #06/09/35

KM of new TEN-T Roads

Waste Water – Add. Pop. served

Education Interventions: Source data 8. 8 bn€ 17 900 projects (excl Education Interventions: Source data 8.8 bn€ 17 900 projects (excl. IT = 6 200 @ average 1.3 m€ each)

Education Interventions Selected (code 75) vs N° projects (CI 36)

4. Evaluation work programme Expert network 2007-2013 2012 Synthesis report 2012 Job creation reports 2013 Synthesis report (forthcoming) Ex-Post 2007-2013 Work Package "zero" already signed All other packages launched before summer 2014 – Deadline 2015

Conclusions Progress slow on project selection … growing absorption concerns Outputs growing steadily as projects are completed – but uneven reporting … more still to do !!! We will publish the data files on INFOREGIO next week (Also studying OPENDATA options for 2014) 2013 AIR data will need to be some of the most complete and important data generated on CP; … as it will be the basis for ex-post 2007-2013 … and will shape the impact assessment post-2020.