Foreign and Security Policy

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Presentation transcript:

Foreign and Security Policy East and Central Europe in Transition

Warsaw Pact Response to NATO Goals primarily Moscow’s Keep Germany divided Push back starting point of land invasion Expand Communism [Stalin, but not necessarily Khrushchev] Brezhnev Doctrine

Comecon/CMEA Economic interdependence counter to Common Market planning specialisation

After “Independence” Let’s all join NATO Let’s all join European Union Who’s really European? Yanks go home? Prevent revival of Communism and/or Moscow dominance Any old scores need settling?

Conflicts Polish posession of Silesia and half East Prussia Prussia: Konigsberg/Kaliningrad Transylvania Ruthenia

Diasporas Bulgarian Turks Dispossessed Germans from 1945-8 Russians in Ukraine, Latvia, Estonia Crimean Tartars Dispossessed and Murdered East European Jewish families from fascist period Emigrants to U.S., exiled dissidents and defectors

Moscow’s nearby concerns Far East: Kuriles and Amur/Ussuri river frontiers Central Asia: Islamic fundamentalism and Tajikistan Caucasus:Chechnya,Abkhazia,Nagorno-Karabakh, South Ossetia Europe: CIS or “near abroad”; Baltic States; former Communist states; Western Europe

Moscow’s global concerns UN role: wants to be taken seriously Relations with US: partnership turning to rivalry: Serbia, Iraq, other conflicts of interest? Needs to sell something on world market. What is its economic role to be? What relations are possible with Japan, Germany, France and China?