e is the possible out comes for a model

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Presentation transcript:

Probability is not exact it refers to a pattern over a long period of time.

e is the possible out comes for a model So rolling a die e1 = 1, e2 = 2, e3 =3, e4 = 4, e5 = 5, and e6 = 6 Since the die has equal chance of rolling any number the Probable outcome for each element P(e1) or rolling a 1 is 1/6. The sum of the probabilities of each element must add up to 1. 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 = 1

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Example: Construct a Probability model for the situation: Tossing 2 fair coins then a fair die. TT1 TH1 HT1 HH1 TT2 TH2 HT2 HH2 TT3 TH3 HT3 HH3 TT4 TH4 HT4 HH4 TT5 TH5 HT5 HH5 TT6 TH6 HT6 HH6 Each outcome has a 1/24 chance