The EU-US Agricultural Framework Agreement

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Presentation transcript:

The EU-US Agricultural Framework Agreement Doha Development Agenda of The World Trade Organization Prepared by Parr Rosson Based on the Joint EC-US Paper on Agriculture August 13, 2003

Background Attempt to Launch New WTO Round in Seattle Failed (1999) Agriculture Negotiations in WTO Began March 2000 under Committee on Agriculture per URA Doha Round of WTO Launched November 2001 Missed Deadline for Agreeing on Procedures for Process of Trade Liberalization (March 31, 2003) EU-US Agree on Framework (August 13, 2003) Cancun Ministerial: September 10-14, 2003 Desired Completion Date: December 2004

Components Domestic Support Market Access Export Competition Unresolved ‘Issues of Interest’

Domestic Support Reaffirms Significantly Larger Cuts in Trade Distorting Payments than the URAA (20%) Amber Box Policies US: LDPs, LMGs, Price Supports EU: Price Supports, Reference Prices Cap Less Trade Distorting Support (New) Blue Box Policies-present classification US: Currently None, but Allows CCP EU: Compensatory Payments, Set Asides Cannot Exceed 5% of Value of Total Agricultural Production, End of Implementation

Market Access ‘Blended Approach’ Share of Tariffs Immediately Duty-Free Share of Tariffs Reduced by Specified Average Amount (%) & Minimum (%) Currently 36%/15% Share of Tariffs Reduced by Swiss Formula Higher Tariffs Cut More than Lower Tariffs Special Ag. Safeguard Being Negotiated Developed Countries Provide Specified Minimum Duty-Free Access to Developing Countries Combination Tariff Cuts & TRQ Expansion Reduce de minimis by Negotiated Percent

Export Competition Reduce, Phase-Out Export Subsidies Some Export Subsidies Eliminated Over Specified Time Period Remaining Product’s Subsidies Reduced in Quantity & Budgetary Outlay Discipline Trade Distorting Components of Export Credits as Above Terms Reflect Commercial Practices Prevent Commercial Displacement via Food Aid Discipline State Traders: Selling, Finance & Pricing

Special & Differential Treatment Applies to Developing Countries Allows Longer Time Period to Implement Provisions Less Reduction in: Domestic Support, Tariffs, Export Subsidies Net Food Exporters NOT Likely to Receive Full Benefit of SDT (Argentina, Brazil, Some Others)

‘Issues of Interest’ (No Agreement) Peace Clause (Art. 13 URA) : Prevents Challenges to Farm Subsidies thru 12/31/03 Non-trade Concerns: Precautionary Principle & Multifunctionality Implementation Period: How Long? Geographical Indications: EU Wines Continuation of Negotiations in Future: Future Directions & Time Frame

Implications Framework Necessary, Not Sufficient Details to be Developed, Issues to Resolve US Will Have a Place to Classify Counter-Cyclical Program Payments Reducing de minimis Will Discipline EU Policy – May Lead to Payment Reductions for Some Programs

Implications US & Other Developed Country Trade Distorting Domestic Support Will be Lower than Current Levels ($9-$10 Billion/Year for US) Increases US Access to Other Markets Expands Demand, Raises Prices Export Subsidies Reduced & Eliminated Lowers Supplies, Raises Prices

Implications Non-trade Issues Important Precautionary Principle-Trade Restriction w/o Scientific Basis Protection for Geographical Indications EU Wines & Cheeses SDT Provisions Will Be Crucial Developing Country Participation & Buy-In Needed for Successful Round

Implications Agricultural Safeguards To Be Developed Temporary Tariffs If Imports Surge & Force Down Prices More Access for Developing Countries Likely Creates More Import Competition Some Fine Tuning of Farm Programs May Be Necessary to Comply with Final Agreement