Inference about Two Population Proportions

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Presentation transcript:

Inference about Two Population Proportions

Definition A sampling method is independent when the individuals selected for one sample do not dictate which individuals are to be in a second sample. A sampling method is dependent when the individuals selected to be in one sample are used to determine the individuals in the second sample. Dependent samples are often referred to as matched-pairs samples. It is possible for an individual to be matched against him- or herself.

Sampling Distribution of the Difference Between Two Proportions Suppose a simple random sample of size n1 is taken from a population where x1 of the individuals have a specified characteristic, and a simple random sample of size n2 is independently taken from a different population where x2 of the individuals have a specified characteristic.

Sampling Distribution of the Difference Between Two Proportions (cont  

Sampling Distribution of the Difference Between Two Proportions (cont  

Hypothesis Test Regarding the Difference Between Two Population Proportions Requirements: There are two simple random samples that are independent of one another Each population is at least 20 times as large as the sample drawn from it The individuals in each samples are divided into two categories Both samples contain at least 10 individuals in each category

Classical Approach (TI-83/84) – Independent Sample Write down a shortened version of claim Come up with null and alternate hypothesis (Ho always has the equals part on it) See if claim matches Ho or H1 Draw the picture and split α into tail(s) H1: p1 ≠ p2 Two Tail H1: p1 < p2 Left Tail H1: p1 > p2 Right Tail Find critical values (INVNORM) Find test statistic (2-PROPZTEST) If test statistic falls in tail, Reject Ho. If test statistic falls in main body, Accept Ho. Determine the claim based on step 3

Classical Approach (By Hand) – Independent Sample Write down a shortened version of claim Come up with null and alternate hypothesis (Ho always has the equals part on it) See if claim matches Ho or H1 Draw the picture and split α into tails H1: p1 ≠ p2 Two Tail H1: p1 < p2 Left Tail H1: p1 > p2 Right Tail

Classical Approach (By Hand) – Independent Sample (cont.)  

P-Value Approach (TI-83/84) – Independent Sample Write down a shortened version of claim Come up with null and alternate hypothesis (Ho always has the equals part on it) See if claim matches Ho or H1 Find p-value (2-PROPZTEST) If p-value is less than α, Reject Ho. If p-value is greater than α, Accept Ho. Determine the claim based on step 3

P-Value Approach (By Hand) – Independent Sample  

P-Value Approach (By Hand) (cont.) Lookup the z-score from step 4 in the Standard Normal Distribution table and find the value from table (VFT) Left Tail: p-value is the VFT Right Tail: p-value is 1-VFT Two Tail: If VFT < 0.5: p-value is 2 times VFT If VFT > 0.5: p-value is 2 times (1 – VFT) If p-value is less than α, Reject Ho. If p-value is greater than α, Accept Ho. Determine the claim based on step 3

1. Claim In testing a new drug (Zizar) there was a concern of migraines occurring during usage. 300 out of 1000 people in the Zizar group experienced migraines while 250 out of 1000 people in the placebo group experienced migraines. Is the proportion of people getting migraines greater for those taking Zizar than those taking the placebo at the α = 0.05 level of significance?

2. Claim In 2008, a study was done asking 500 people if they read at least 2 books a year, 20 responded yes. In 2012, a study was done asking the same question of 800 people and 45 responded yes. Are the proportions different at α = 0.10?

Constructing a Confidence Interval for the Difference between Two Population Proportions (Independent Samples)  

TI-83/84 Instructions  

3. Confidence Intervals In a poll of 1000 men, 200 said they believed in UFO’s. In a poll of 780 women, 100 said they believed in UFO’s. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the two population proportions, pmen – pwomen