Gaining the Battle-Winning Edge with Data Science Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 Gaining the Battle-Winning Edge with Data Science Lou Martingale, Julie Manuel 18th July 2018 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2012 Dstl

Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 S Laser Tag in the Army? Soldier Picture: MoD/Crown copyright 2016   16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

What is the role of the Ministry of Defence (MOD)? Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 What is the role of the Ministry of Defence (MOD)? Its main purpose is to: Deliver security for citizens of the UK and the Overseas Territories by defending them, including against terrorism Act as a force for good by strengthening international peace and stability Responsible for: Providing the military capability necessary to deliver the Government’s objectives Defining and planning future military requirements MOD Main Building Picture: MoD/Crown copyright 2017   Coldsteam Guards Picture: MoD/Crown copyright 2018   A short guide to the Ministry of Defence – NAO Sept 2017 UK OFFICIAL 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

What do we mean by Capability? Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 What do we mean by Capability? Infrastructure Logistics Training How do I get from Newcastle to London? Equipment Images obtained from Presenter Media DVLA: https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/driver-and-vehicle-licensing-agency Organisation Doctrine Information People UK OFFICIAL 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

The MOD employs around 227 000 trained personnel Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 The MOD employs around 227 000 trained personnel Images and figures taken from Defence in Numbers: 2016: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/561135/UK_Defence_in_Numbers_2016-revised.pdf 2017: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/652915/UK_Defence_in_Numbers_2017_-_Update_17_Oct.pdf 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

Where does Defence spend its money? Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 Where does Defence spend its money? Images taken from Defence in Numbers: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/652915/UK_Defence_in_Numbers_2017_-_Update_17_Oct.pdf 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

What are some of the challenges Defence faces? Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 What are some of the challenges Defence faces? © The Independent “At the end of the financial year ending March 2017, UK government gross debt was £1,720.0 billion, equivalent to 86.7% of gross domestic product (GDP) ” ONS 2017 “The Armed Forces currently have significant shortfalls in critical skills” and “is not on track to meet its workforce targets” NAO 2018 Muscular-Skeletal Injuries is the most common cause of discharge. It costs an estimated £100M per year” MOD 2015 1. Austerity information obtained from: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicspending/bulletins/ukgovernmentdebtanddeficitforeurostatmaast/september2017#how-much-is-the-general-government-gross-debt 2. NSS and SDSR image of paper obtained from: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/555607/2015_Strategic_Defence_and_Security_Review.pdf 3. Independent Equipment image taken from: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/army-funding-uk-budget-shortfall-ministry-defence-equipment-public-accounts-a8345696.html. Dated 11 May 2018 4. Skill Shortage and workforce targets: Information taken from NAO Ensuring Sufficient Skilled Personnel Report: https://www.nao.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Ensuring-sufficient-skilled-military-personnel.pdf 5. Multi-Skeletal Injuries (MSKI) information taken from Defence Health and Wellbeing annual report: https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/defence-health-and-wellbeing-annual-reports 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 Laser Tag in the Army? Soldier Picture: MoD/Crown copyright 2016   16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

You have been provided a hard-drive of data… What do you do first to help exploit the data for the customer? 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl

The customer has prioritised the questions they want us to look at… Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 The customer has prioritised the questions they want us to look at… 1. How effective is our training? 2. What factors influence people to leave the Armed Forces? 3. What factors impact the health of our soldiers? 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

The customer has prioritised the questions they want us to look at… What sub questions can we help the customer with? What skills can help you do this? 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl

Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 What did we do? 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2012 Dstl

Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 What process did we use? Session 1 Session 2 Scrum? Obtain and understand data Problem Structuring Data preparation Analytical approach Validation and verification? Exploitation Customer delivery 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

Uncontrolled copy when printed 16/05/2019 Exploitation Photos in clockwise: CR2 Photo: Crown Copyright 2012 Javelin: Crown Copyright 2005 Training: Crown Copyright 2008 Stretcher: Crown Copyright 2017 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl © Crown copyright 2013 Dstl

Content includes material subject to © Crown copyright (2018), Dstl Content includes material subject to © Crown copyright (2018), Dstl. This material is licensed under the terms of the Open Government Licence except where otherwise stated. To view this licence, visit http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3 or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email: psi@nationalarchives.gsi.gov.uk DSTL/PUB109298 16 May 2019 © Crown copyright 2018 Dstl