What are we worth?.

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Presentation transcript:

What are we worth?

What are we worth? IntelliVen December 11, 2017 Copyright 2017 IntelliVen, LLC and Peter F. DiGiammarino All rights reserved. Quotation, reproduction or transmission is prohibited without written permission from IntelliVen, LLC and Peter F. DiGiammarino  

A business is worth what someone is willing to pay for It. Three ways to derive the value of a business: Discounted Cash Flow = The present value (to account for a dollar today being worth more than a future dollar) of certain (and highly certain) future profits. Book Value = A multiple of the tangible (e.g., money in the bank) and intangible (e.g., company name or IP) assets of the company less its liabilities (e.g., loans, obligations). Comparable Businesses = What has been paid recently by others for similar businesses (adjusted for peculiarities of the subject business) generally expressed as a multiple of operating profit (e.g., 5.5 X EBITDA) or a % of Revenue (90% of Revenue). All three get considered as part of deciding what to pay for a business. A buyer can be strategic (a business that will merge operations with their own) or financial (restructure financing, usually with debt, keep the team).

Some factors that affect the multiple of EBITDA or Percent of Revenue. Size Long term sustainable growth rate (how big can the business get and with what certainty, cost, and risk over what time frame) Mix of revenue from new vs. existing customers Long term contracts Backlog Concentration Key customers Market Clear, simple, easy to understand value proposition Differentiation, sustainable competitive advantage Defensible market position Prime v. Sub Contract Vehicles OCI Target Market, Market Trends Context (what else is going on in the world; what’s hot and what’s not) Operations Team Delivery model (on premises, SaaS) Business Model (Product, Service, Channel, Operation, or Exchange) Synergy (What acquirer believes they can do with in terms of growth and performance such as improve efficiency; see: How to Make an Acquisition work) Personnel (e.g., cleared staff, high percent of PhDs) Intellectual Property that lowers the cost of sale, delivery, and growth Contract mix (FFP, CPFF, T&M) Special Status (discount for SADBU, etc.) Operating excellence (systems for do/sell/grow) Finances Gross and Net Margins; how efficiently can business get at turning revenue into profit and sustain growth Predictability Certainty Track record

Each business model works differently; it is easier to perform and grow using just one model. Financials Output Payment Example Competencies Metrics (notional) Software, Hardware, Information Per copy Per unit Hewlett Packard Microsoft Sales, Support R&D Product Management EBIT=20% P/E = 100X # of salespeople, salespeople tenure, $/sale $/salesperson Product Hourly or project consulting or service Per hour Per deliverable Accenture BA&H Deloitte Project Management, Client Management EBIT=15% P/E = 25X Staff utilization Average hourly rate Service Outsourcing Facilities Management Per unit of time Per unit processed EDS CGI Utilities Efficiency of operation Drive to scale EBIT=10% P/E = 10X Cost per unit Service levels Operation Set up and administer connection between buyer and provider Percentage of revenue Placement Firms IDIQ Contractors Contracting, administration, space, inventory EBIT=3% P/E = 5X Contract order backlog Commitment level Channel Broker link s between many bu y ers and many sellers Subscription fee Transaction fee NYSE UBER Domain competence Efficiency of operation EBIT<0 P/E = na Number subscribers Number of transactions Exchange

Lessons Learned in Building High-value Businesses Keep it simple. Play in markets that are essentially infinite. Use IP (software, method, data, etc.) to create an unfair advantage. Sell value not process. Be clear about what you seek. Make sure everyone on the team is playing the same game!

Links to Suggested Reading IntelliVen Content: Are we for sale? Growth is good and money matters Personal Financial Planning Model  How much money do I need?  Ten Lessons on Selling a Company Texts: Rich Dad Poor Dad; Stanley Millionaire Next Door; Kiyosaki

Topics for discussion: What is our firm worth today and why? What is our target valuation in three or five years (without any commitment to sell at that point)? How do we get there (dos and don’ts)?

Thank you. www.intelliven.com