State and Global Trends in Geo Energy and their Impact on Renewables

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Presentation transcript:

State and Global Trends in Geo Energy and their Impact on Renewables REALISE Forum Conference, Ljubljana, May 18, 2018

Outline Total Primary Energy Supply of the World Mineral oil, coal, natural gas and the strategic energy ellipse Unconventional oil and gas Total Final Energy Consumption Electricity generation & the role of Nuclear power Renewable Energy Sources Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Total Primary Energy Supply of the World Source: IEA 2017 BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

Mineral oil production in California 2002 Global Oil production: 80-85 mbd – world wide proven reserves: 1115 bn b - but only one third with low or medium investment risk No large fields (> 1 mbd) are being discovered in the past 30 years Oil price Yesterday 133 US-$ per barrel – over 1,000 times higher than a decade ago Prediction of analysts at Goldman Sachs as well as ministers of the OPEC oil cartel: prices could reach $ 200 per barrel within two years Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Oil reserves Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Oil & Gas Reserves by Nation Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

World Oil Reserves Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

The strategic energy ellipse Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Production of oil shale Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Sudden disruption Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Natural Gas – Shah Deniz platform, AZ © BP 2012 Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Shale gas map Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Shale gas production Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Natural gas robbery in the 3rd World Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

World Electricity Generation by Fuel Surce: IEA 2017 BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

Total Final Energy Consumption of the World Source: IEA 2017 BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

Global Role of Nuclear Electricity of FEC (2010/2016) Nuclear share of electricity generation: 12.9% Electricity share of Final Energy Consumption: 17.7% Nuclear share of Final Energy Consumption: 2.28% and 2016 Nuclear share of electricity generation: 10.1% Electricity share of Final Energy Consumption: 18.5% Nuclear share of Final Energy Consumption: 1.87% BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

Nuclear Electricity Share of TFEC of the six largest Generators (2008) KOR JAP D USA RUS TPES in Mtoe 266,50 226,95 495,84 335,28 2.283,72 686,76 Electricity gener. in TWh 570,3 443,9 1.075,0 631,2 4.343,8 1.038,4 Nuclear el. gen. in TWh 439,5 151,0 258,1 148,5 837,8 163,1 Share in % 77,1 34,0 24,0 23,5 19,3 15,7 TFEC in Mtoe 165,55 147,54 318,81 235,67 1.542,25 435,51 Share Electricity of FEC in % 22,5 23,7 26,0 19,1 21,3 14,0 Share Nuclear electricity of TFEC in % 17,3 8,1 6,2 4,5 4,1 2.2 [1 Source: IEA 2010 BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

Thank you for your attention! PD Dr. Lutz Mez FFU, Ihnestr. 22, D-14195 Berlin email: lutz.mez@fu-berlin.de Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

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