Brinkmanship/ Deterrence

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Presentation transcript:

Brinkmanship/ Deterrence TOP TEN THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW

1 Key terms Brinkmanship – to take to the edge (to threaten but not want to follow through) Deterrence – to prevent or persuade someone to not do something

The best deterrent 2 Nuclear weapons 1945 – US develops first atomic bomb 1949 – USSR develops atom bomb 1952 – US develops hydrogen bomb 1953 – USSR develops hydrogen bomb Different weapons - ICMB Tsar bomba

The space race changes the game 3 The space race changes the game 1957 Sputnik – means that weapons can be delivered remotely Fight for space “Cannot be under a Red moon”

4 MAD Mutual assured destruction

5 Our defenses NORAD DEW line

In Europe and America, there's a growing feeling of hysteria Conditioned to respond to all the threats In the rhetorical speeches of the Soviets Mr. Krushchev said we will bury you I don't subscribe to this point of view It would be such an ignorant thing to do If the Russian love their children too How can I save my little boy from Oppenheimer's deadly toy There is no monopoly of common sense On either side of the political fence We share the same biology Regardless of ideology Believe me when I say to you I hope the Russians love their children too There is no historical precedent To put words in the mouth of the president There's no such thing as a winnable war It's a lie we don't believe anymore Mr. Reagan says we will protect you What might save us me and you Is that the Russians love their children too

The classic example of brinkmanship 6 Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 Issue: spheres of influence U2 spy plane finds missile sites on Cuba (who is looking for an ally after Communist revolution)

Kennedy’s conundrum 7 Hawks – go to war Doves – seek for peace Owl Quarantine – semantics (blockade = act of war)

Iron Curtain makes it worse 8 Iron Curtain makes it worse Due to the ideological conflict between the two states Kennedy and Khrushchev cannot directly negotiate with each other Backroom deals UN

“Mr. President, we and you ought not now to pull on the ends of the rope in which you have tied the knot of war, because the more the two of us pull, the tighter the knot will be tied…let us take measures to untie that knot.” Khrushchev

9 Doomsday (11:59) “We were eyeball to eyeball and the other guy just blinked”

The outcome 10 Tensions between superpowers is reduced dramatically Sign Partial Test Ban Treaty 1963 Set up hotline to talk directly to each other