BACKGROUND & SIGNIFICANCE SUMMARY & FUTURE DIRECTIONS

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Presentation transcript:

BACKGROUND & SIGNIFICANCE SUMMARY & FUTURE DIRECTIONS The NPU Task: Evaluating a Surrogate Endpoint for Stress Mechanisms in Research on Smoking Cessation Interventions Katherine P. Magruder, Jesse T. Kaye, Megan N. Fleming, Austin D. Kayser, Susan E. Schneck, & John J. Curtin Addiction Research Center, Psychology Department, University of Wisconsin-Madison BACKGROUND & SIGNIFICANCE Overall Stressor Reactivity Fails to Significantly Predict Probability of Lapsing Relative Unpredictable Stressor Reactivity Fails to Significantly Predict Probability of Lapsing Surrogate endpoints are robust, early predictors of clinically relevant outcomes. Surrogate endpoints are advantageous for three reasons: 1. Available much earlier than ultimate clinical outcomes1,2 2. Establish an intervention’s mechanism of action3,4 3. More power to test impact of intervention on this mechanism5,6 Stressor reactivity is a target for many interventions in addiction but we do not have well-validated surrogate endpoints for stress-induced relapse mechanisms. Basic science combines with preliminary clinical research to suggest that overall stressor reactivity and relative unpredictable stressor reactivity as measured by startle potentiation in the NPU task may be attractive surrogate endpoints for this purpose.7,8 OBJECTIVES The goal of this study was to evaluate a key requirement for two potential surrogate endpoints – their ability to predict clinical outcomes. We tested if overall stressor reactivity and relative unpredictable stressor reactivity for recently abstinent daily cigarette smokers (N = 128) predicts probability of lapsing during two-week cessation attempt. METHODS * SUMMARY & FUTURE DIRECTIONS Our pre-registered hypotheses were not supported. Specifically, overall stressor reactivity and selective unpredictable stressor reactivity did not significantly predict probability of lapsing during two-week cessation attempt. These results raise some concern about overall and selective unpredictable stressor reactivity as surrogate endpoints in research on smoking cessation interventions. However, these null results must be tempered by important study limitations of low power: - Relapse broadly vs. stress-induced relapse - Rates of continuous abstinence NPU STRESSOR TASK REFERNCES 1. McKee, S. A. (2009). Developing human laboratory models of smoking lapse behavior for medication screening for medication screening. Addiction Biology, 14(1), 99-107. 2. Prentice, R. L. (1989). Surrogate endpoints in clinical trials: Definition and operational criteria. Statistics in Medicine, 8, 431-440. 3. Insel, T. R. (2012). Next-generation treatments for mental disorders. Science Translational Medicine, 4(155), 155ps19. 4. Lerman, C., LeSage, M. G., Perkins, K. A., O’Malley, S. S., Siegel, S. J., Benowitz, N. L., & Corrigall, W. A. (2007). Translational research in medication development for nicotine dependence. Nature Reviews Drug Discovery, 6(9), 746-762. 5. Lesko, L. J., & Atkinson, A. J. (2001). Use of biomarkers and surrogate endpoints in drug development and regulatory decision-making: Criteria, validation, and strategies. Annual Review of Pharmacology and Toxicology, 41, 347-366. 6. Fleming, T. R., & Powers, J. H. (2012). Biomarkers and surrogate endpoints in clinical trials. Statistics in Medicine, 31(25), 2973-2984. 7. Walker, D. L., Toufexis, D. J., & Davis, M. (2003). Role of the bed nucleus of the stria terminalis versus the amygdala in fear, stress, and anxiety. European Journal of Pharmacology, 463, 199-216. 8. Davis, M., Walker, D. L., Miles, L., & Grillon, C. (2010). Phasic versus sustained fear in rats and humans: Role of the extended amygdala in fear versus anxiety. Neuropsychopharmacology Reviews, 35, 105-135.