Summary of the conceptual hypothesis that accounting for history significantly shifts predictions of function. Summary of the conceptual hypothesis that.

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Presentation transcript:

Summary of the conceptual hypothesis that accounting for history significantly shifts predictions of function. Summary of the conceptual hypothesis that accounting for history significantly shifts predictions of function. (Left panel) In natural systems, there is a dynamic three-way coupling among ecological history, environmental history, and hydrobiogeochemical function. Major challenges are those of understanding that coupling and, in turn, representing it within dynamic, non-steady-state multiscale modeling frameworks. (Right panel) Given clear evidence for a strong influence of history on function, it is expected that accounting for the three-way coupling will shift model predictions of function under future environmental conditions. It is expected that predictions of mean conditions (solid lines) will change, especially following perturbations, and that uncertainty will be reduced (solid filled areas). This formulation is conceptual, and the function is not specified but is considered to represent any microbe-influenced biogeochemical rate that is also impacted by hydrology. James C. Stegen mSystems 2018; doi:10.1128/mSystems.00167-17