The Longest Expansion …and what it means for you June 22, 2018

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Addressing the Employment Aftermath: an ILO approach Stephen Pursey Director, Policy Integration and Statistics Department, ILO.
Advertisements

US Economy Forecast 2014, 2015 Till Schreiber Senior Lecturer Professor College of William & Mary September 26 th 2014 Nafa Annual Convention, Aspen, CO.
The School Finance Outlook for and Beyond Legislative Revenue Office April 2010.
Copyright © 2011 CIL Ltd. All rights reserved. David Smith Sunday Times September 2011 David Smith.
The Vermont Economy Newsletter - January 8, 2010 What Kind of Recovery? Vermont’s Economy in 2010 By Richard Heaps.
Economic Challenges. Determining the Unemployment Rate A nation’s unemployment rate is an important indicator of the health of the economy. The Bureau.
Chapter 8. Unemployment and Inflation Link to syllabus.
Retain G.W. Bush tax cuts for individuals earning over $ 250,000 per year is in the interest of a Republic Maxie Brinkmann, Vanessa Henning, Eva Estrada,
Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton BLS Unemployment Data.
David A. Penn Director and Associate Professor Jennings A Jones College of Business Middle Tennessee State University
Economic Cycle  Economic Cycle = one complete movement from peak to peak (or trough to trough)  Peak = height of economic prosperity.  Contraction =
© 2009 South-Western, a part of Cengage Learning, all rights reserved C H A P T E R Unemployment E conomics E S S E N T I A L S O F N. Gregory Mankiw Premium.
STATE OF THE WORKFORCE REPORT Study Objectives 1.County Demographics 2.Workforce Challenges Advantages/challenges regional businesses 3.Recruitment.
Macroeconomic Forces Chapter 2. Characteristics of the Business Cycle 1. Fluctuations in aggregate business activity 2. Characteristic of a market driven.
Unit A Business in a Changing World Section 1.04 Economic Indicators and the Business Cycle.
LABOR MARKET INDICATORS  Current Population Survey Every month, 1,600 interviewers working on a joint project of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Production and Productivity GDP is the market value of all goods and services produced in a nation’s economy during a given time. It is made up of consumer,
WCF’s STATE OF THE WORKFORCE Central Florida - Fall 2006.
Calculating the unemployment rate # of people unemployed divided by # of people in the civilian labor force x100 7,000,000/151,400,000 = x 100.
Keynes and the Classical theory In the 1930s, wage rates fell and employment did not increase as classical model predicted.
Economic Outlook Efficient Electro-Technology Conference September 7, 2000.
UNEMPLOYMENT NOTES KOEHN-DAVIS-ADAMO. Lets look at the current US and state of MI unemployment rates CURRENT U-RATES 2010.
Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Survey Published by: Institute for Supply Management Frequency: Monthly Period Covered: Prior Month.
Employment Statistics Employed You have a job (even if part time) Unemployed “Jobless, looking for jobs, and available to work” Must be ACTIVELY searching.
Meaning & Calculation of Unemployment. Objectives: How is unemployment measured and calculated? What is the relationship between the unemployment rate.
By skerdilaid hoti Good aspects China yet growing population of people Also china's median age is 35.2 is good because you need young people.
THE STRUCTURE OF TURKISH ECONOMY. Table of Content 1. Production Structure 2. Inflation 3. Labor Statistics 4. International Trade and BoP Statistics.
Overview and Outlook for Georgia’s Revenue Situation and Economy Fiscal Management Council Office of Planning and Budget Ken Heaghney September 2015.
Dr. Ahmed M. Darwish Minister of State for Administrative Development Egypt Making Reform Happen “Structural Priorities in Times of Crisis” OECD - Paris.
Economic Indicators Okay, I should pay attention to the business cycle, but how do I know which direction it is going in?
Unemployment. Review The Labor Force - all individuals who are employed or unemployed. Does not include military, full time students, and retired. Individuals.
December 3, The State of The Economy In this presentation National forecasts are produced by Global Insight, Inc. State and Metropolitan forecasts.
Is the U.S. in an Economic Decline? New Canaan Senior Men Club – January 29, 2016 Paul A. Strassmann.
Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist National Association of REALTORS ® May 14, 2015 Washington, D.C.
Personal Financial Planning Developing Personal Financial Goals Lesson 1.1 Part 2.
WARM UP #9 What does it mean for an event to be cyclical? What are some examples? What do they all have in common? When you go to the doctor, what are.
Why is there positive interest? Why is the interest rate > zero?
ECO 372 Week 1 DQ 4 What are the different types of unemployment? How do they affect the economy in terms of growth, labor force, and price of labor? Check.
An Overview of Business Cycle Theories & The Circular Flow Model
U.S. Economic and Housing Outlook
Economy of Iceland 2014 Powerpoint charts.
Will the economy turn upside down in 2017?
Circular Flow & Business Cycle
Business Cycles.
Measuring the economy.
Economic & Revenue Outlook
Macro Free Responses Since 1995
(1888 PressRelease) Hamilton Crawford - UK wage growth lags inflation even as jobless rate hits new low
Dave Reich Office of Economic and Financial Analysis
The School Finance Outlook for and Beyond
Economic Performance.
Gross Domestic Product and Economic Growth
The Circular Flow Model, Productivity, and Economic Indicators
An Overview of Business Cycle Theories & The Circular Flow Model
Circular Flow.
Chapter 6 Lesson 2 The Business Cycle.
Economic Fluctuations
Economic Development Economics Chapter 18.
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 2018: “THE COSTS OF GROWTH” Dr. Michael L. Walden
Job Market Readiness Student Preparation
Economic Development Economics Chapter 18.
An Overview of Business Cycle Theories & The Circular Flow Model
Update: Tennessee’s Economic Recovery
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 2019: THE LATE INNINGS OF GROWTH?
2 Economic Activity 2-1 Measuring Economic Activity
An Overview of Business Cycle Theories & The Circular Flow Model
POWER CHALLENGES Several Ways To Solve 7 CHALLENGES.
Introduction to Unemployment
Chapter 13: Economic Challenges
AP Macroeconomics Coach Guttmann Unit I – Basic Concepts
Presentation transcript:

The Longest Expansion …and what it means for you June 22, 2018 Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Currently second longest expansion… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Many aspects of the jobs market normalized… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

With all indicators saying the expansion has not ended yet… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

And will continue for the foreseeable future… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

And will continue for the foreseeable future… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Oregon is no exception… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

? for the Fed: How low can unemployment go? Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Interest rates are rising… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Very long leading indicator still good… Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

What’s keeping Fed from hiking faster? Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

What’s keeping Fed from hiking faster? Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Challenge: Low unemployment Low unemployment will help solve many problems! Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Can you hold on to your employees? Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

One solution: A bigger labor force. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Another solution: Relax hiring guidelines. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Challenge: Material and labor costs. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Solution: Invest for efficiency gains. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Challenge: Financial instability? Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Household debt still falling relative to size of the economy. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

No obvious overinvestment in any one sector. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

The end. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu @TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

Feedback: Privacy Policy Feedback
Do Not Sell My Personal Information
About project: SlidePlayer Terms of Service

© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc. All rights reserved.