POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS

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Presentation transcript:

POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS JUNE 2019

WHAT ARE WE ASKING OF YOU TODAY? Approval of Resolution T-10-19: "Adoption of independent regional land use variables for inclusion in the 2020 Metropolitan Transportation Plan”

Population & Employment Forecasts: Overview Future population & employment are key to planning for future transportation system needs 5-year increments out to 2050 Developed for 7-county region Presented at traffic analysis zone (TAZ) level

Population & Employment Forecasts: Process & Inputs Establish base year (2020) estimates of population and employment Develop forecast year (2050) county control totals to project total growth Update future land use from local land use plans & points of interest Distribute growth using land use, commuting patterns, and factors that attract/deter development Revisions based on local review

Population & Employment Forecasts: Base Year Estimates Decennial Census population Building permits from local permitting agencies Point of interest mapping Employment QCEW data from ODOT

Population & Employment Forecasts: County Control Totals

Population & Employment Forecasts: County Control Totals

Population & Employment Forecasts: Updated Land Use Mapping Collected new parcel data for all 7 counties Updated & standardized existing land use Collected land use plans from local agencies Updated & standardized future land use Revisions based on local agency review Finalized Fall of 2018

Population & Employment Forecasts: Development Attraction Factors

PUBLIC COMMENT PERIOD April 18 – May 17, 2019 Comments received from 23 communities for 936 TAZs

Candidate project collection WHAT’S NEXT? Candidate project collection Interactive web map Launching June 3 Project evaluation

TIMELINE (2019)

Aaron Schill Director, Data & Mapping aschill@morpc.org 111 Liberty Street, Suite 100 Columbus, OH 43215 www.morpc.org