Transport toekomstbestendig maken Rotterdam, 07-11-18 Vlaams Nederlandse Delta Conferentie © Bart Vannieuwenhuyse, TRI-VIZOR N.V. Bart Vannieuwenhuyse bavn@trivizor.com TRI-VIZOR NV Waterfront Research Park Galileilaan 15 B-2845 Niel (Antwerp South) T: +32 3 292 62 10 www.trivizor.com

European Transport : the modal split Modal split in EU-28 (% of total number of ton-km)

Transport Paradox Causes? Improvements…? Breakthroughs…? World Economic Forum Supply Chain Study 24% of good vehicles in the EU are running empty Average loading of the rest is 57% Overall efficiency: 43% (!) Flow imbalance could only explain half of this loss How long can this continue? Transport and logistics responsible for 14-20% of global carbon footprint Growth in transport generates more and more capacity problems - congestion Causes? Improvements…? Breakthroughs…?

Why current business models will fail very soon Smaller shipments, more frequent Shorter leadtimes Customer on-demand Society bans capacity expansion Driver shortage E-commerce 57% Capacity Fillrate 51 Km/h Average Truck Speed TODAY 2050

If we keep going, this will happen! Service deterioration Bad quality Cost of “too late” (unpaid) cost for society Hidden cost Total Logistics Cost for company Direct cost TODAY 2050 E-commerce Shorter leadtimes Customer on-demand Driver shortage Smaller shipments, more frequent Society bans capacity expansion Direct transport and logistics costs Direct taxes

Current transport system under pressure Can be improved by: Pricing policy – smart and fair road pricing system; Efficiency – vertical and horizontal collaboration; Smart logistics – “design for logistics”; Multimodality > Co-modality > Synchromodality; Innovation – adding extra capacity through a new transport mode ULS : the fifth full transport mode

Research agenda ALICE - EC

Current transport system under pressure Can be improved by: Pricing policy – smart and fair road pricing system; Efficiency – vertical and horizontal collaboration; Smart logistics – “design for logistics”; Multimodality > Co-modality > Synchromodality; Innovation – adding extra capacity through a new transport mode ULS : the fifth full transport mode

ULS – the challenges Show that ULS is a sustainable and appropriate solution Various studies and pilots in Singapore, UK, Japan,… Study Braet: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of ULS To raise public awareness How to make the first step?

The dilemma… Complete chaos “Beestenboel” We can create order…

http://fpti-nl.com Bart Vannieuwenhuyse bavn@trivizor.com www.trivizor.com http://fpti-nl.com