UN STATISTICS DIVISION Economic Statistics Branch

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Presentation transcript:

Results of the AEG e-discussion on Non-performing loans — impact on FISIM UN STATISTICS DIVISION Economic Statistics Branch National Accounts Section

Non-performing loans — impact on FISIM Introduction The issue was unresolved 3 options were suggested : Continue to estimate FISIM on NPLs and allocate it to the corresponding borrowers but consider how unpaid FISIM is recorded in the accounts in such a way as to increment principal outstanding Estimate FISIM on interest received (rather than receivable) and on interest payable so that FISIM is not attributable to NPLs Estimate FISIM on a basis including NPLs but allocate the whole amount of FISIM only to those borrowers servicing their loans

Non-performing loans — impact on FISIM cont Comments Some participants regarded option 1 as closest to the 'correct' option in a system that records NPLs at nominal, rather than market, values. However, there are significant reservations about recording FISIM on NPLs for loans that are 'dead and buried', The view is that there is no service provided on such loans. Option 2 says switch to cash accounting, but that creates excess lumpiness and it doesn’t always give a reliable picture of the bank’s situation. Option 3 is internally inconsistent—we can’t say that the interest is there for some purposes, but not for others. Option 4 also results in inconsistencies.

Non-performing loans — impact on FISIM cont Results Total Yes No No opinion 1. Option 1: Same as 93 SNA, any FISIM on unpaid interest must be accrued as part of the principal outstanding 22 21 1 2. Option 2: Record interest on a cash rather than an accrual basis 12 1 11 3. Option 3: the implication is that (SNA) interest can not be derived by the reference rate and stock of perf. loans 12 12 4. Option 4: when the valuation of loans change from nominal to market value 12 11 1 5. Alternative option? 4 1 1 2

Non-performing loans — impact on FISIM cont Conclusion The consultation shows that most of the AEG members participating support Option 1 on the treatment of FISIM on NPL

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