The Carbon Footprint of Bitcoin

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The Carbon Footprint of Bitcoin Christian Stoll, Lena Klaaßen, Ulrich Gallersdörfer  Joule  DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012 Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Joule DOI: (10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012) Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Power Consumption and Carbon Emission Estimates in Previous Studies The data reflect the power consumption at a specific date. Thus, the data are presented in power (W) rather than energy (J). (A) 100–500 MW power consumption as of January 1, 2017.34 (B) 470–540 MW as of February 2017, 816–944 MW as of July 2017, and 1,620–3,136 MW with a best guess of 2,100 MW as of November 1, 2018.35 (C) 2,550–7,670 MW as of March 2018, calculated by assuming miners spent 40% of all revenues on hardware and 60% on electricity.6 (D) 948 MW as 2017 average and 3,441 MW as first 6 months 2018 average.10 (E) 12,080 MW as of July 2018; only value that includes the power spent on manufacturing of the mining hardware, which represents 57% of this total power (and emissions) estimate; PUE of 1.25 considered.36 (F) 7,687 MW average of daily estimates in November 2018; daily estimates range from 5,983 MW to 8,347 MW in November 2018; estimates calculated by assuming 60% of revenues are spent on operational costs including electricity, hardware, and cooling costs.11 (G) 345 MW as of December 2016, 1,637 MW as of December 2017, and 5,232 MW as of November 2018; PUE of 1.05 considered. (H) 69 MtCO2 emissions as of 2017; calculation based on the flawed assumption that the number of transactions drives power consumption.9 (I) 43.9 MtCO2 emissions as of February 2018, including Ethereum.28 (J) 2.9–13.5 MtCO2 emissions range calculated using the median daily power consumption from January 2016 to June 2018 multiplied by CO2 emission factors of seven countries, assuming all miners would be based in one of these countries.10 (K) 61 MtCO2 emissions as of July 2018, using a global average CO2 emission factor.36 (L) 25.8 MtCO2 emissions as of November 2018, using an emission factor of 0.7 kg CO2 per kWh for 70% of the power consumption (based on China’s average emission factor), and assuming clean energy for the remaining 30%.11 (M) 22.0–22.9 MtCO2 emissions as of November 2018; range reflects three footprint scenarios with a respective local carbon intensity of power generation. (N) Indexed hash rate (required computing power) since January 1, 2017; data retrieved from Blockchain.com (https://www.blockchain.com/charts).5 See Figure 2 for absolute values. Joule DOI: (10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012) Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Bitcoin Market Price, Network Hash Rate, Profitable Efficiency, and Hardware Efficiencies of ASIC-Based Mining Systems Released by Major Mining Hardware Producers Values are charted at monthly intervals. Hash rate and market price were retrieved from Blockchain.com (www.blockchain.com/charts).5 Calculations of the profitable hardware efficiency are reported in Data S1: Sheet 3.6. We assume an average electricity price of USD 0.05/kWh as argued in previous estimates.11,37 A detailed overview of ASIC-based mining systems releases can be found in Data S1: Sheet 4.1. Joule DOI: (10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012) Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Hash Rate Distribution of Slushpool Grouped by Individual Miners’ Computing Power Data generated in web scrawling of Slushpool pool statistics (https://slushpool.com/stats/?c=btc),19 which differentiates 27 size groups that we group in S, M, and L; data reported in Data S1: Sheet 3.7; source code available under https://github.com/UliGall/cfootprint_bitcoin. Joule DOI: (10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012) Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Hash Rate Distribution among Mining Pools as of November 2018 Data pulled from BTC.com (https://btc.com/stats/pool?percent_mode=latest#pool-history)38 and reported in Data S1: Sheet 4.2. Joule DOI: (10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012) Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 5 Power Consumption Corridor Values are charted at daily intervals. Data are reported in Data S1: Sheets 3.2–3.3. Sensitivities are shown in Data S1: Sheet 2. Joule DOI: (10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012) Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 6 Local Footprint of Device IP Addresses Map and data from IoT-search engine Shodan (https://www.shodan.io)39 as reported in Data S1: Sheet 4.7. Joule DOI: (10.1016/j.joule.2019.05.012) Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions