“Applied International Economics – an analysis of current issues”

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“Applied International Economics – an analysis of current issues”
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Presentation transcript:

“Applied International Economics – an analysis of current issues” 30 January 2019 https://www.hse.ru/org/hse/appliedmacro/

Brent oil price 2018-19

NYC in 1905 and 1913

World map by population

GDP 2030 projections by Visual Capitalist

Estimated bond and equity valuation from 1800

G7 central bank balance sheets

US. debt cycles from 1966

5000 years of interest rates. BoE

Asset bubbles

BIS. recent macro trends

IMF. 1. IP and trade from 2015

IMF. 2. trade tensions from 2017

IMF. 3. US interest rates from 2017

IMF. 4. US dollar

IMF. 5. borrowing costs

Global central bank balance sheet contraction from 2003

Global debt and GDP from 1950

Global debt from 1997 to 2017

Total US Debt percentage GDP

US. Buffett indicator Jan. 2019

US. Debt burdens to GDP from 1915. Ray Dalio

US. double deficit as a percent of GDP

US. Federal Debt Deficit Projections

US. GNP and public debt from 1970

US. projected fiscal defcits

Bloomberg. World market capitalization from 2004

Business cycle schematic view

CBs w negative rates

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