Predicting survival among high-risk pediatric cardiac transplant recipients: An analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing database Ryan R. Davies,

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Presentation transcript:

Predicting survival among high-risk pediatric cardiac transplant recipients: An analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing database Ryan R. Davies, MD, Mark J. Russo, MD, MS, Seema Mital, MD, Timothy M. Martens, MD, Robert S. Sorabella, BA, Kimberly N. Hong, MHSA, Annetine C. Gelijns, PhD, Alan J. Moskowitz, MD, Jan M. Quaegebeur, MD, Ralph S. Mosca, MD, Jonathan M. Chen, MD The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery Volume 135, Issue 1, Pages 147-155.e2 (January 2008) DOI: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2007.09.019 Copyright © 2008 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Five-year Kaplan–Meier survival estimates are illustrated as a function of the presence and number of high-risk criteria (HRC) present at the time of transplantation. (P < .0001, Wilcoxon test.) The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2008 135, 147-155.e2DOI: (10.1016/j.jtcvs.2007.09.019) Copyright © 2008 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Observed 30-day (black) and 1-year (slanted brick pattern) mortality for each risk score in patients with at least one HRC (P < 0.0001). The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2008 135, 147-155.e2DOI: (10.1016/j.jtcvs.2007.09.019) Copyright © 2008 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Thirty-day (black) and 1-year (slanted brick pattern) mortality stratified based on risk category (low = score 0-5, moderate = 6–10, high = 11–15). P < .0001. The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2008 135, 147-155.e2DOI: (10.1016/j.jtcvs.2007.09.019) Copyright © 2008 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery Terms and Conditions

Figure E1 Receiver operating curves are shown for both 30-day (A) and overall 1-year survival (B) based on the scoring scale. In both cases, as demonstrated by the c score, the scoring scale adequately predicts survival. The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2008 135, 147-155.e2DOI: (10.1016/j.jtcvs.2007.09.019) Copyright © 2008 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery Terms and Conditions