Science Panel Perspective

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Science Panel Perspective

Gregory Carmichael(1), Pablo E

Presentation transcript:

Science Panel Perspective Modeling Perspective Science Panel Perspective A common goal – improve predictions (for SIPs, AQ forecasts) and conceptual models Water-land influences and changing emissions structure are important Advances in predictability depend on improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Spatial and temporal detail matter

Science Panel Perspective Modeling Perspective Science Panel Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Emissions – temporal and spatial variability, sector-specific, VOCs (anthro and biogenic), improved retrievals for use in emission inversions Goldberg et al., ACP, 2019

Modeling Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Science Panel Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Emissions – temporal and spatial variability, sector-specific, VOCs (anthro and biogenic), improved retrievals for use in emission inversions TropOMI Tropospheric NO2 column Data Assimilation within NWS NAM-CMAQ Goldberg et al., ACP, 2019 Pierce et al.

Science Panel Perspective Modeling Perspective Science Panel Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Emissions – temporal and spatial variability, sector-specific, VOCs (anthro and biogenic), improved retrievals for use in emission inversions LMOS (Iowa calculated)HCHO/NO2 columns)

Science Panel Perspective Modeling Perspective Science Panel Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Transport – better characterization of spatial movements Chemistry - mechanism, ozone sensitivity, clouds

Science Panel Perspective Modeling Perspective Science Panel Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Transport – better characterization of spatial movements Chemistry - mechanism, ozone sensitivity, clouds EPA , Szykman et al.

Science Panel Perspective Modeling Perspective Science Panel Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Putting the pieces together Linking the temporal and spatial information to the surface

Modeling Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Science Panel Perspective Improving Emissions + Meteorology + Chemistry Emissions – temporal and spatial variability, sector-specific, VOCs (anthro and biogenic), improved retrievals for use in emission inversions TropOMI Tropospheric NO2 column Data Assimilation within NWS NAM-CMAQ Goldberg et al., ACP, 2019 Pierce et al.