Mark L. Homer, PhD, MMSc, Nathan P. Palmer, PhD, Kathe P

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Stable Cardiovascular Disease: A Meta-analysis Jeffrey S. Berger, MD, MS, David L. Brown, MD, Richard C. Becker, MD The.

Advertisements

Severe Tuberculosis Sepsis in an Immunocompetent Patient

Paul D. Stein, MD, Fadi Matta, MD, Mary J. Hughes, DO

Pneumothorax Recurrence Related to High-speed Lift

Bleeding Toes in Diabetic Neuropathy

Grip Strength Predicts Cause-Specific Mortality in Middle-Aged and Elderly Persons Hideo Sasaki, MD, PhD, Fumiyoshi Kasagi, PhD, Michiko Yamada, MD, PhD,

Sexuality The American Journal of Medicine

An Unusual Cause of Leg Ulcerations

Comparative Effectiveness Research and Medical Informatics

Bleeding Toes in Diabetic Neuropathy

Stewart F. Babbott, MD, B. W. Beasley, MD, K. T. Hinchey, MD, J. W

Maureen M. Okam, MD, MPH, Todd A. Koch, Minh-Ha Tran, DO

Dietary Fiber Intake and Cardiometabolic Risks among US Adults, NHANES

Tim McAlindon, MD, MPH, Margaret Formica, MSPH, Christopher H

Matthew I. Worthley, MBBS, PhD, FRACP, Fiona M

One Appendix, Two Different Pains

Systematic Review of the Mediterranean Diet for Long-Term Weight Loss

Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Adverse Events of Low-dose Aspirin and Clopidogrel in Randomized Controlled Trials Kenneth R. McQuaid, MD, Loren.

Leslie R. Harrold, MD, MPH, Daniel Peterson, MS, Ashley J

The Impact of Aging and Medical Status on Dysgeusia

Overview of Current Learning Theories for Medical Educators

Nisha I. Parikh, MD, MPH, Michael J. Pencina, PhD, Thomas J

Schizophrenia for Primary Care Providers: How to Contribute to the Care of a Vulnerable Patient Population Mark Viron, MD, Travis Baggett, MD, MPH, Michele.

Multimorbidity in Middle-Aged Adults with Cerebral Palsy

Epidemiology of Myelodysplastic Syndromes

The Effect of a Statewide Smoking Ordinance on Acute Myocardial Infarction Rates Paul Basel, BS, Becki Bucher Bartelson, PhD, Marie Claire Le Lait, MS,

Risk Factors for Work Disability in Severe Adult Asthma

Robert Goulden, MBBS, MSc, MPhil, MA The American Journal of Medicine

Juice Plus or Toxicity Plus

The Reply The American Journal of Medicine

Assessment of FIBROSpect II to Detect Hepatic Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients Atif Zaman, MD, MPH, Hugo R. Rosen, MD, Ken Ingram, PA-C, Christopher.

TIA for the Internist The American Journal of Medicine

Gout in African Americans

A Diagnostic Dilemma in a Patient with Polyarthritis

Repeated Hemoglobin A1C Ordering in the VA Health System

Fusobacterium nucleatum Bacteremia Presenting with Portal Vein Thrombosis: An Abdominal Lemierre Syndrome? Joseph A. Moore, MD, Siayareh Rambally, MD

The Reply The American Journal of Medicine

Long-Term Use of Aspirin and the Risk of Gastrointestinal Bleeding

Does Methylphenidate Reduce the Symptoms of Chronic Fatigue Syndrome?

Seizure with Acute Pulmonary Infiltrates

Usefulness of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc Scores in the Prediction of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: A Population-Based Study Walid Saliba, MD, MPH, Naomi.

Elevated High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Is Associated with Hyponatremia in Hypertensive Patients Ariel Israel, MD, PhD, Ehud Grossman, MD The.

Prevalence and Risk Factors for Erectile Dysfunction in the US

Insomnia in the Elderly: Cause, Approach, and Treatment

Age Differences in Treatment and Control of Hypertension in US Physician Offices, : A Serial Cross-sectional Study Anna Gu, MD, PhD, Yu Yue,

To Reduce Stroke with PFO Closure, Respect the Shunt

Effect of Folic Acid, with or without Other B Vitamins, on Cognitive Decline: Meta- Analysis of Randomized Trials David S. Wald, MA, MRCP, MD, Anuradhani.

John-Michael Gamble, BScPharm, MSc, Dean T. Eurich, PhD, Thomas J

Evaluation of Severe Infection and Survival After Splenectomy

Shikhar Agarwal, MD, MPH The American Journal of Medicine

Leanne B. Gasink, MD, Neil O. Fishman, MD, Mark G

Purple Urinary Bag Syndrome

A Post-cure Complication

Sister Mary Joseph's Node

Plasma Lactescence in Acute Pancreatitis

Barriers to Adult Immunization

Primary Care Management of Skin Abscesses Guided by Ultrasound

Screening and Treatment of Vitamin D Deficiency on Hospital Admission: Is There a Benefit for Medical Inpatients? Lena Grädel, MD, Meret Merker, BMSc,

Trends in Prolonged Hospitalizations in the United States from 2001 to 2012: A Longitudinal Cohort Study Lauren Doctoroff, MD, Douglas J. Hsu, MD, Kenneth.

Impact of IT-enabled Intervention on MRI Use for Back Pain

Determining Triglyceride Reductions Needed for Clinical Impact in Severe Hypertriglyceridemia Jennifer B. Christian, PharmD, MPH, PhD, Bhakti Arondekar,

Diagnosing Bilateral Tarsal Tunnel Syndrome

Falls in Older Adults: Risk Assessment, Management and Prevention

Emily G. McDonald, MD, MSc, Ramy R. Saleh, MD, Todd C. Lee, MD, MPH

Longer Lengths of Stay and Higher Risk of Mortality among Inpatients of Physicians with More Years in Practice William N. Southern, MD, MS, Eran Y. Bellin,

Toward a More Responsible News Media

David Tian, MD, Ram Jhingan Mohan, MD, Gary Stallings, MD

Frédéric Michard, MD, PhD, Apurva Badheka, MD

Evaluation of the Yale New Haven Readmission Risk Score for Pneumonia in a General Hospital Population Gabrielle Schaefer, MD, Robert El-Kareh, MD, MS,

Hypophosphatemia: Diagnostic Significance in Legionnaires’ Disease

Presentation transcript:

Predicting Falls in People Aged 65 Years and Older from Insurance Claims Mark L. Homer, PhD, MMSc, Nathan P. Palmer, PhD, Kathe P. Fox, PhD, Joanne Armstrong, MD, MPH, Kenneth D. Mandl, MD, MPH The American Journal of Medicine Volume 130, Issue 6, Pages 744.e17-744.e23 (June 2017) DOI: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2017.01.003 Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Predictive model's risk stratification performance on held-out test data. The predictive model risk stratifies the population and yields estimates of the average fall risk (circle) within each stratum. The estimates are compared to the actual risk in each stratum (triangle). The American Journal of Medicine 2017 130, 744.e17-744.e23DOI: (10.1016/j.amjmed.2017.01.003) Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Comparison of predictive model variations by AUC. Models differ by the types of predictive variables included. AUC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The American Journal of Medicine 2017 130, 744.e17-744.e23DOI: (10.1016/j.amjmed.2017.01.003) Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Comparison of predictive model variations by number of members identified as high-risk during validation (>20%). The number of people who actually fell within each model's estimated high-risk group are provided (in blue) and the number within each bar denotes the fraction of the high-risk members who fell, ie, positive predictive value. The American Journal of Medicine 2017 130, 744.e17-744.e23DOI: (10.1016/j.amjmed.2017.01.003) Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Inc. Terms and Conditions