Energy Outlook: Market Perspectives

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Presentation transcript:

Energy Outlook: Market Perspectives ICAC Clean Air Summit May 9, 2018

RECENT TRENDS: COAL TO GAS & RENEWABLES . NorthBridge analysis based on Energy Velocity Suite data

EIA REFERENCE CASE: CONTINUATION OF RECENT PAST . NorthBridge based on EIA AEO 2018 Reference Case

WHAT WOULD PUSH THIS OUTLOOK OFF THE TREND? . NorthBridge based on EIA AEO 2018 Low Oil & Gas Resource and Technology Case

WHAT WOULD PUSH THIS OUTLOOK OFF THE TREND? . Market Environment Indicators Gas Prices Drilling productivity developments New LNG export investments Renewables Change in federal or state policy supports System integration costs in high penetration markets Coal Competitiveness Policy Support FERC proceeding on grid resilience New administration proposals Form of Carbon Regulations 100% renewable versus tech-neutral policies CCS innovation component to carbon rules CCS/EOR Innovation FUTURE Act implementation guidance Follow on legislation (MLP, PAB, etc.) CCS cost declines & EOR market expansion