Volume 58, Issue 1, Pages (July 2000)

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Volume 58, Issue 1, Pages 283-292 (July 2000) Predicting patient outcome from acute renal failure comparing three general severity of illness scoring systems Enrico Fiaccadori, Umberto Maggiore, Maria Lombardi, Sabina Leonardi, Carlo Rotelli, Alberico Borghetti Kidney International Volume 58, Issue 1, Pages 283-292 (July 2000) DOI: 10.1046/j.1523-1755.2000.00164.x Copyright © 2000 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Calibration curves for (A) APACHE II (▵), (B) SAPS II (○), and (C) MPM24 II (⋄), constructed by plotting observed death rate against predicted death rate stratified by 10% risk ranges. For any decision criterion, the true positive rate is the percentage of patients predicted to die from those who actually died. The false positive rate is the percentage of patients predicted to die from those who actually survived. ARF cohort data are in the left column, ATN subgroup in the right column. Kidney International 2000 58, 283-292DOI: (10.1046/j.1523-1755.2000.00164.x) Copyright © 2000 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves and areas for APACHE II (▴), SAPS II (○), and MPM24 II (⋄). (A) Acute renal failure (ARF) cohort data. APACHE II ROC area = 0.75 (95% CI, 0.70 to 0.80), N = 425; SAPS II ROC area = 0.77 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.81), N = 425; MPM24 II ROC area = 0.85 (95% CI, 0.81 to 0.88), N = 410. (B) Acute tubular necrosis (ATN) subgroup cohort data. APACHE II ROC area = 0.76 (95% CI, 0.71 to 0.81), N = 292; SAPS II ROC area = 0.76 (95% CI, 0.71 to 0.82), N = 292; MPM24 II ROC area = 0.84 (95% CI, 0.79 to 0.88), N = 278. Kidney International 2000 58, 283-292DOI: (10.1046/j.1523-1755.2000.00164.x) Copyright © 2000 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions