Lawrie Phipps
Planning for complexity and change Changing the learning landscape Planning for complexity and change A brief introduction to Scenario Thinking Strategic planning tool used to make flexible long-term plans The method is based on creating a series of ‘different futures’ generated from a combination of known factors, such as demographics, with plausible alternative political, economic, social, technical, legal and environmental (PESTLE) trends which are key driving forces.
Scenario Process Scoping the issue Trends analysis Building Scenarios Creating options Testing the options Decisions Go to ‘View’ menu > ‘Header and Footer…’ to edit the footers on this slide (click ‘Apply’ to change only the currently selected slide, or ‘Apply to All’ to change the footers on all slides.
Scenario Process Scoping the issue Trends analysis Building Scenarios Creating options Testing the options Decisions Go to ‘View’ menu > ‘Header and Footer…’ to edit the footers on this slide (click ‘Apply’ to change only the currently selected slide, or ‘Apply to All’ to change the footers on all slides.
Scenario Stage One Pestle trends Issue Context Go to ‘View’ menu > ‘Header and Footer…’ to edit the footers on this slide (click ‘Apply’ to change only the currently selected slide, or ‘Apply to All’ to change the footers on all slides.
Generating Ideas Blue ideas. Normal ideas, standard procedures – these don’t require a separate workshop/activity to come up with these Red ideas. Original, innovative but realistic in ambition Yellow ideas. Very creative and inventive but not yet feasible Image – COCD Ideas Matrix Go to ‘View’ menu > ‘Header and Footer…’ to edit the footers on this slide (click ‘Apply’ to change only the currently selected slide, or ‘Apply to All’ to change the footers on all slides.
Stage Two Scenario One Scenario Two New Service Scenario Four Scenario Three Scenario Four New Service Go to ‘View’ menu > ‘Header and Footer…’ to edit the footers on this slide (click ‘Apply’ to change only the currently selected slide, or ‘Apply to All’ to change the footers on all slides.
JISC Organisational Development & Transformations Programme Lawrie Phipps JISC Organisational Development & Transformations Programme l.phipps@jisc.ac.uk @lawrie Lawrie-Phipps © HEFCE 2012 The Higher Education Funding Council for England, on behalf of JISC, permits reuse of this presentation and its contents under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial-No Derivative Works 2.0 UK England & Wales Licence. http://creativecommons.org/licences/by-nc-nd/2.0/uk