HOW TO CONNECT EVERYONE

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Presentation transcript:

HOW TO CONNECT EVERYONE Steve Song Network Startup Resource Center IAB, 21 March 2018

Internet as a Mutant Super Power

The Mobile Revolution First mobile networks in Africa in 1994 Gained critical mass and impact on the poor within a decade Unprecedented spread of communication technology.

But Now Subscriber Growth is Slowing Source: GSMA Intelligence

The Impact of Fibre Optic Infrastructure The growth of undersea fibre optic capacity has been a catalyst for change.

Access to fibre optic infrastructure opens up the potential to offer global competitive services for municipalities, communities, entrepreneurs. https://afterfibre.nsrc.org

Spectrum Has Become a Barrier

Pace of Regulatory Change Too Slow 2007 2010 The decision to switch from analogue to digital broadcasting was taken in 2006 with a planned deadline of 2015. Few African countries have met or will meet this deadline. This is not surprising as the process is complex with many factors from technology choice, inter government coordination, encryption, pay vs free services all requiring decision making. However, while this has been happening, technology has been leaping ahead, with Internet devices and networks improving dramatically and new OTT services competing in traditional broadcast markets. The pace of spectrum reform is not longer adequate to the environment.

Spectrum Auctions: a Burden on Winners and a Barrier to Market Entry Country Year Spectrum Price # successful bidders Nigeria 2014 2.3GHz (30MHz) $23,000,000 1 Ghana 2015 800MHz (20MHz) $67,500,000 2016 2.6GHz (60MHz) $96,000,000 Mozambique 2013 800MHz (10MHz) $30,000.000 Evidence that high spectrum spends result in: Lower quality networks and reduced take-up of mobile data services owing to reduced incentives for investment; Higher consumer prices for mobile broadband data; and Lost consumer welfare with a purchasing power of US$250bn across a group of countries where spectrum was priced above the global median. https://www.gsma.com/spectrum/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Effective-Spectrum-Pricing-Full-Web.pdf

All Your Spectrum Are Belong To Us

Unlicensed Spectrum Growth

WiFi

Unlicensed Spectrum Potential Phenomenal Cosmic Powers Itty Bitty Living Space

New Generation Technologies

Perhaps we need more of an Airbnb approach Current Regulatory Frameworks For Spectrum Are A Bit Like a 19th Century Hotel Perhaps we need more of an Airbnb approach

Spectrum Availability ?

Filling the jar. Regulation must enable small-scale operators to address niche markets, geographies, and to stimulate access innovation.

Technological Diversity Matters Identical technologies lead to identical business models which lead to a “race to the bottom” Access diversity breaks oligopolies.

@stevesong manypossibilities.net Thank you! @stevesong manypossibilities.net