ISU Extension Weekly Outlook 3 June 2019

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Presentation transcript:

ISU Extension Weekly Outlook 3 June 2019 Dennis Todey Director, Midwest Climate Hub Dennis.todey@ars.usda.gov Charlene Felkley Coordinator, Midwest Climate Hub Charlene.felkley@ars.usda.gov

Monday 4” soil temperature Continued progress in warming soil temperatures. Avg. 4” soil temps mid-upper 60s. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/agclimate/soilt.php

USDA NASS Crop Progress (through May 26) Corn planting nationally slowest all time through May 26 at 58%. Beans 2nd (behind 1995) at 29%. Iowa at 76% and 32% actually better than most other states.

USDA NASS Crop Progress (through May 26) Emergence progress similar to planting. Nationally corn 32% emerged – beans 11%. Iowa again somewhat better off at 42% and 8%.

GDD Accumulation – Story County 80 GDD behind avg. in this example. Check your own area. Note: Both versions now working. http://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu/U2U/gdd/ or https://hprcc.unl.edu/gdd.php

7 Day precip (through 7 AM Monday) Heaviest rain across south and far NW. Over 5-6” in places. Less than 2” from central to NE. https://water.weather.gov/precip/

30 Day Precip. Total/% Avg. About 5-10” statewide last 30 days. 130% avg north to over 150% rest of the state. https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps

90 Day Precip. Total/% Avg. Close to average last 90 days SW to NE. Heavier far NW and SE. https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps

30 Day Temperatures 2-5 F below average across the state for May. https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps

US Drought Monitor Same as last week: D0 pockets in North Dakota and Minnesota. No dry areas in Iowa/most of Midwest. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

7 Day Forecast Precip. Continued heavy rains but mostly southeast of IA this week. Could open a little final planting window for IA. More problems to the southeast. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1484935973

8-14 Day Temp and Precip. Outlook Warmer this week, but likely cooler again next week. Chances for rain continue, though not as strongly – still above average. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

30 Day Temp and Precip. Outlook 30 day outlook – mostly EC for the state. Equal chanced for below and above. Some good news in that wet and cool are not more likely. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

Take Home Current conditions: Outlook info: Very delayed planting/development continues across Corn Belt – below avg. GDD. Iowa somewhat better planting than most places. Much cooler than average for May. Precipitation above to well above average statewide. Outlook info: Rain chances continue, though likely less than recent. Some warmth this week with likely cooler next week. Wet soils issues continue with more flooding possible.

Charlene Felkley, Coordinator For More Information Midwest Climate Hub @dennistodey https://www.climatehubs.oce.usda.gov/hubs/midwest Charlene Felkley, Coordinator Dennis Todey, Director Erica Kistner, Fellow 515-294-0136 515-294-2013 515-294-9602 Charlene.felkley@ars.usda.gov Dennis.todey@ars.usda.gov Erica.kristner@ars.usda.gov Research and Science Information Synthesis Tool Development, Technology Exchange, and Implementation Assistance Stakeholder Education, Outreach, and Engagement National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment Attn: Midwest Climate Hub 1015 N University Blvd Ames, Iowa 50011-3611