Barack Obama.

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Presentation transcript:

Barack Obama

Obama’s Inheritance Two US counterinsurgency wars One global war against radical Islam Arab Uprising Rising power in China US National Security Strategy May 2010

1. Counterinsurgency (COIN) in Iraq Getting Out: 2/09 Plan Combat Operations Officially End: 9/10/10

COIN in Afghanistan December 2009: Additional 33,000 troops Withdrawal in 2014…2016…

2. Global War against Radical Islam

Drone Strikes

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) Anwar al-Awlaki Killed by drone strike 9/30/11

May 1, 2011 Bin-Laden killed

3. Arab Uprising 2010-2011 Timeline

Balancing US interests counterterrorism human rights and democracy OIL alliance with Israel Iranian threat Alliance with Turkey Iran vs. Saudi Arabia

Country by Country Decisions (for reference only) Encouraging Egyptian military to oust Mubarak Trying to salvage Yemeni leaders then helping negotiate their resignations Trying to salvage Bahraini leaders, but encouraging them to move faster on political reform Bombing Libya Diplomacy with Syria then harsh language Saudi Arabia: silence

Syrian Civil War

Syria Policy Non-intervention Warning about using Chemical Weapons August 20, 2012 “enormous consequences” Summer 2013:confirmed use of chemical weapons Pres and Congress agree to take no action

ISIS 2011 Territory controlled in Syria Iraq Allies Boko Haram In Libya In Europe

ISIS 2015

4. Rise of China One nation catches up to the US Rising Challenger Declining hegemon

Sending a Message? Obama Administration’s first state dinner Michelle Obama and Indian PM Singh

Pivot/Rebalancing to Asia Defense Guidance 2012: Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership Priorities for 21st Century Defense Clinton at East-West Center “America's Engagement in the Asia-Pacific” text

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