Contact Interagency Metro Orlando Affordable Housing Bankers Roundtable Anne Ray July 24, 2019.

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Presentation transcript:

Contact Interagency Metro Orlando Affordable Housing Bankers Roundtable Anne Ray July 24, 2019

Low-income: below 60% area median income (AMI) Cost burdened: paying more than 40% of income for rent Excludes student-headed, non-family households

Renting has risen continually since 2000 Renting has risen continually since 2000. Ownership fell during the recession but has rebounded. Households by Tenure, Orange/Osceola/Seminole Counties, 2000-2017 65% 60% Source: Shimberg Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2000/2012/2017 American Community Survey.

Recent growth has come from age 55+ homeowners and renters of all ages. Change in Households by Householder Age & Tenure, Orlando/Osceola/Seminole Counties, 2000 & 2017 Source: Shimberg Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2017 American Community Survey

In 2000, 44% of units rented for $1,000 or less. The Orlando area added over 104,000 rental units 2000-2017, mostly with rents above $1,000 (2017 $). Units by Gross Rent Above/Below $1,000 (2017 $), Orange/Osceola/Seminole Counties, 2000 & 2017 In 2000, 44% of units rented for $1,000 or less. In 2017, only 31% did. Source: Shimberg Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2017 American Community Survey. 2000 rents adjusted for inflation using Consumer Price Index.

More renters of all incomes are cost burdened, but most of the increase has been among low-income renters. Cost Burdened Renters by Income (% AMI), Orange/Osceola/Seminole Counties, 2000 & 2019 The region added 59,266 low-income, cost burdened households 2000- 2019. Cost burden also rose for 60-80% AMI renters (12,629 added households) Only 5% of cost burdened renters have incomes above 80% AMI Sources: Shimberg Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2013-2017 5-Year American Community Survey; University of Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research, 2017 Population Projections

Renters at all income levels participate in the workforce. Renter Households by Age/Disability, Work Status and Income (% AMI), Orange/Osceola/Seminole Counties, 2017 81% of renter households include at least one person employed outside the home. Most of the rest are elder or disabled households. Source: Shimberg Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 American Community Survey.

Service jobs are the most common occupations for Orlando area renters. Top Ten Occupations for Renters, Orlando/Osceola/Seminole Counties, 2017   Median hourly wage Customer service representatives $14.36 Managers, all other $47.66 Driver/sales workers and truck drivers $11.10-19.27 Maids and housekeeping cleaners $10.63 Retail salespersons $10.24 Janitors and building cleaners $10.76 First-line supervisors of retail sales workers $19.61 Cashiers $9.77 Waiters and waitresses $11.44 Cooks $9.95-12.71 Sources: Shimberg Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 American Community Survey and Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, 2017 Occupational Employment Statistics and Wages

Subsidized Rental Housing Supply 274 developments in Orange/Osceola/Seminole Counties 43,286 affordable units ( 1 7 of Florida’s supply) Funded by HUD, Florida Housing Finance Corporation, USDA Rural Development, and local housing finance authorities Tenant characteristics: Average income: $24,297 57% of households include children 20% of households include member age 62+

Preservation Risks: Expiring Subsidies Subsidized Units by Expiration Year, Orange/Osceola/Seminole Counties, 2012-2030 7,041 affordable units are at risk of subsidy expiration between 2020 and 2030 ¼ of state’s at- risk units Sources: Shimberg Center for Housing Studies, Assisted Housing Inventory

Building a Local Housing System: The Affordable Housing Continuum Supportive Housing (affordable units + services) Homeless Older adults People with disabilities Other special needs Affordable rental housing Public housing Subsidized (Florida Housing, HUD, USDA) Vouchers NOAH (Naturally Occurring Affordable Housing) Affordable home ownership Shared equity (e.g. community land trust) Down payment assistance Low-interest loans Affordable construction Home rehab and weatherization

Contact Contact: Anne Ray 352-273-1195  aray@ufl.edu Main site: http://www.shimberg.ufl.edu Data clearinghouse: http://flhousing.data.shimberg.ufl.edu