Estimated response accuracy for critical pairs at the trial of testing

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Fig. 6 Estimated response accuracy for critical pairs at the trial of testing. Estimated response accuracy for critical pairs at the trial of testing. Boxes are centered at the mean population accuracy, with their upper and lower extent representing the 80% credible interval for the population estimate. Whiskers represent the 95% credible interval. (A) Population estimates of critical pair accuracy in the reverse gradient condition based on a binomial regression using only the first presentation of each pair. In addition, mean accuracy across all critical pairs, with corresponding uncertainty, is plotted in black. (B) Population estimates in the reverse gradient condition based on logistic regressions, extrapolating performance at the intercept (trial zero). Each pair was fit separately in this analysis, and the mean of the critical pairs was pooled across those estimates. (C) Population estimates of trial zero performance in the reverse gradient condition based on a logistic regression that incorporated data from all six pairs in both conditions, fitting both distance and reward effects. (D to F). Same as (A) to (C), respectively, but associated with the concordant gradient condition. Greg Jensen et al. Sci Adv 2019;5:eaaw2089 Copyright © 2019 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC).