Prepared for: California Water & Environmental Modeling Forum CA Water Plan Update 2018 Managing Water Resources for Sustainability – Sustainability Outlook Prepared for: California Water & Environmental Modeling Forum April 22, 2019

California Water Plan Update 2018 Focus & Features CA Water Today -- accomplishments -- challenges & drivers Understanding sustainability Actionable recommendations Sustainability Outlook to track progress & adapt Investment strategy & funding scenarios You have just heard about the overall features of the 2018 Update. My talk is to focus on our progress around what we are calling the sustainability outlook. As is says here the outlook is intended as a method or framework to track progress and adapt as needed as we journey towards sustainability…..

Sustainability Requires Consistency with Values The combined effect of actions and projects within watersheds and groundwater basins is consistent with societal values, while fostering trust and promoting equity. The Sustainability Outlook is a method to track our progress at achieving our intended outcomes organized around four societal values.

The Sustainability Outlook Demonstrate Return on Investment Sample Value Sample Intended Outcome Public Health & Safety Sample Sustainability Indicator An adequate water supply for domestic needs, sanitation, and fire suppression Number of public water systems (population served) not in compliance with drinking water standards This is a example at a high level for understanding of how this methodology works by nesting the various outcomes under the four societal values and finally getting to indicators which will allow us to measure the progress toward those outcomes. One thing we saw when we started to look at possible indicators was that scale is critical. At a statewide scale for example some indicators do not provide meaningful information. However this same indicator may provide valuable insight at the correct regional or local scale. 4 1 dozen 3 dozen 4

Sustainability Requires Tracking & Adaptive Management It is part of a journey toward sustainability. It helps us with evaluating our effectiveness of our actions and takes into consideration that our societal values will change over time……

Indicator Screening Process One of our supporting documents is titled “Sustainability Outlook Indicator Descriptions and Methodology and will be posted with the Update. In this document we start with a definition of each of the societal values. I think for todays audience I want to give a flavor of some of the indicators under each societal value. There is much work to be done and for all of you looking for opportunities for further research to assist there is need for further work in identifying indicators with supporting data to be able to track our progress.

Indicator Screening Process Criteria for screening: • Representative • Data Viability • Cost • Longevity • Supportive of Decision Making

Data Viability Note that we have data types from I to IV. Type I is adequate data readily available, Type II data available but maybe not geographically complete or further analysis is needed to ues, Type 3 is usually non-continuous or piecemeal data to Type IV No data collected

Public Health and Safety Public health and safety is defined as prevention of, protection from, and mitigation of events that could harm or injure people. Events that can pose a risk of harm or injury include accidents, outbreaks, illnesses, crimes, and disasters (natural or man-made). The vision for this societal value is that all Californians are protected from public health and safety threats and emergencies. The intended outcomes that represent Public Health and Safety include: A reliable water supply for domestic needs, sanitation, and fire suppression; Reduced number of people exposed to waterborne health threats such as contaminants or infectious agents; Reduced loss of life, injuries and health risks caused from extreme hydrologic conditions, catastrophic events and/or system failures (including infrastructure).

Public Health and Safety PHS 3: Number of Public Water Systems Not in Compliance with Drinking Water Standards Scale: Statewide Data Sources: State Water Board DDW Data Availability: Type I Metric: Population served by public water systems and number of MCL violations by public water systems Screening Status: Basic Representative of Outcome: High Data Viability: Medium Cost: Medium-High Potential Longevity: Supportive of Decision Making:

Ecosystem Vitality Ecosystem vitality describes the healthy functioning and lasting resiliency of diverse communities of interconnected aquatic, riparian, and wetland organisms across California. Ecosystem resilience is defined as the ability of an ecosystem to withstand or respond to disturbances without undergoing major or irreversible changes in identity, function, or structure. The vision for this societal value is for thriving ecosystems to exist throughout the state. The intended outcomes that represent Ecosystem Vitality include: • Maintained and increased ecosystem and native species distributions in California while sustaining and enhancing species abundance and richness; • Maintained and improved ecological functions and processes vital for sustaining ecosystems in California; and • Achieved designated beneficial uses for water bodies throughout the state.

Ecosystem Vitality EV 6: California Stream Condition Index Scale: Statewide Data Sources: State Water Board Surface Water Ambient Monitoring Program (SWAMP); CWP Update 2013 Data Availability: Type I Metric: California Stream Condition Index Screening Status: Basic Representative of Outcome: High Data Viability: Cost: Medium Potential Longevity: Supportive of Decision Making:

Healthy Economy A healthy economy would include stable, positive, and responsible economic development; strong commitments to the long-term health of people and the environment; government encouragement of job-creating investments; and removal of excess regulations that may throttle economic development. The vision for this societal value is that California has a healthy economy and that all Californians have opportunities for economic prosperity. The intended outcomes that represent Healthy Economy include: • Reliable water supplies of suitable quality for a variety of productive water uses are based on a reliable supply; • Consideration of economic risks and rewards on floodplains, rivers, and coastal areas; • More benefits from economics activities; • Reduced likelihood or occurrence of significant social disruption following a disaster.

Healthy Economy HE 9: Socioeconomic Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise Impacts Scale: Regional Data Sources: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA); California Ocean Protection Council Data Availability: Type I Metric: Social Vulnerability Index and acreage of coastal land impacted by sea level rise Screening Status: Basic Representative of Outcome: High Data Viability: Medium-High Cost: Medium Potential Longevity: Supportive of Decision Making:

Opportunities for Enriching Experiences The vision for this societal value is that all Californians have opportunities for enriching experiences to add greater value or significance to their lives. The intended outcomes that represent Opportunities for Enriching Experiences include: • Preserved or enhanced culturally or historically significant sites and communities, including continued and enhanced access to water and land used for cultural practices, such as sacred ceremonies; • Preserved and increased natural areas with aesthetic or intrinsic value (including viewshed ); • Continued and enhanced access to resources that support education and learning; • Continued or enhanced recreational opportunities in waterways, reservoirs, or natural and open spaces.

Opportunities for Enriching Experiences OEE 3: Number of School Districts Using Water and Environmental Curriculum in K-12 Programs Scale: Statewide Data Sources: California Department of Education; DWR Project WET; Water Education Foundation Data Availability: Type II Metric: Number of School Districts Screening Status: Basic Representative of Outcome: High Data Viability: Medium Cost: Potential Longevity: Supportive of Decision Making:

Sustainability Requires Tracking & Adaptive Management It is part of a journey toward sustainability. It helps us with evaluating our effectiveness of our actions and takes into consideration that our societal values will change over time……

Update 2018 Watershed-Scale Pilots Outlook is Aggregate of Regional Sustainability Applying Sustainability Outlook locally Proof of concept & scalability of indicators Local/regional perspectives on impediments to sustainability Place-based solutions for governance, regulations & funding Initiated pilot projects in partnership with: California Forward Pacific Institute Water Foundation Sonoma County Water Agency Santa Ana Watershed Project Authority This prompted us to look at various pilots at a local/regional scale that could provide insight on how we might apply this methodology. These pilots have yielded some valuable lessons learned and will provide us with insight on our next efforts……

Next Steps Continue applying Sustainability Outlook at logical scales Refine the intended outcomes and the indicators Collect needed data to answer the question of progress toward the intended outcomes. 1 this could include additional pilot efforts, 2 We still may see better measurements of the outcomes and indicators which would track the progress. 3 Data is lacking on several of the indicators we have identified.

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Questions & Comments Lewis Moeller, PE lewis.moeller@water.ca.gov Statewide Integrated Water Management CA Department Water Resources 28