Local Employment Dynamics: 6/02/2014 Local Employment Dynamics: Utilizing Quarterly Workforce Indicators for Detailed Worker and Industry Characteristics Earlene Dowell LEHD Program Center for Economic Studies U.S. Census Bureau

Outline The hierarchy What is LED and how can I use it? 6/02/2014 Outline The hierarchy What is LED and how can I use it? LED Public-use Data and Web Tools Live Demonstration and hands-on activity Introduction to Job-to-Job Flows

Center for Economic Studies 6/02/2014 Center for Economic Studies CES was established in 1982, designed to house longitudinal business databases The Longitudinal Household-Employer Dynamics (LEHD) program is a subgroup of CES CES partners with stakeholders inside and outside the Census Bureau to improve measures of the economy and people of the United States through research and the development of innovative data products CES also facilitates the research of others through the Federal Statistical Research Data Center (FSRDC) program Currently 23 open RDC locations with 7 new locations coming soon

CES Data Products and Data Tools Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS) Tabulations on establishments, firms, and employment with unique information on firm age and firm size Synthetic Longitudinal Business Database (SynLBD) Beta version of synthetic microdata on all U.S. establishments TOOLS BDS Visualization Tool Visualize BDS data across multiple dimensions Geographic – Thematic Map Cross Sectional – Bar Charts Time – Time Series Virtual RDC – Through Cornell University Experimental synthetic data product 21 million establishment records covering all sectors for the years 1976 – 2000 Contains the establishment's synthetic 3–digit SIC code, first year, last year, annual payroll, annual employment, and multi–unit status Contains no geographic or firm-level information

BDS Visualization Tool Census.Gov/CES/ 6/02/2014 BDS Visualization Tool Census.Gov/CES/ Go Live Job Creation

LED vs LEHD Local Employment Dynamics Partnership Partnership between Census Bureau and States States voluntarily submit quarterly data Core data from UI Wage Records and QCEW reports Additional records from OPM and other Federal sources Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Program Creates linked employer-employee database Releases public-use data products Develops web tools for data dissemination

Where Do the Data Come From? 6/02/2014 Where Do the Data Come From? Local Employment Dynamics Partnership Begun in late 1990s with a few states Some states have time series back to 1990 Not currently producing data for Wyoming, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands

Admin. Records & LED Infrastructure 6/02/2014 UI* Wage Records OPM* Economic Survey Data Linked National Jobs Data Firm Data Jobs Data Person Data Business Register Federal Records Demographic Census/Survey Data QCEW* QCEW = Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages UI = Unemployment Insurance OPM = Office of Personnel Management Public-Use Data Products… Job data cover over 95% of private employment and most state, local, and federal jobs Data availability: 1990-2014, start year varies by state, rolling end date

Why Are LED Data Special? 100% Coverage of UI Covered Jobs Firm Characteristics crossed with Worker Characteristics Detailed Geography Data Currency Accessible via powerful and easy-to-use tools Flexible outputs: PDF reports, Excel tables, high-quality images, and shapefiles

LED Data Products Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) Employment, Job Creation, Job Destruction, Hires, Separations, Turnover, Earnings By industry, county, and worker characteristics LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics (LODES) Employment-Residence connections Detailed geography + firm/worker characteristics Job-to-Job Flows (J2J) Data on job transitions broken down by origin/destination industry and geography and worker characteristics Flows between jobs Flows to/from nonemployment Ongoing beta release of data Job-to-Job Explorer application forthcoming this fall

Choosing Among LED Data Products What do you want? Potential Drawbacks Data Product Employment, hires, separations, turnover, or earnings by detailed firm and person characteristics; quarterly time resolution; relatively short data lag No geography below county; no residential information QWI Employment for detailed or customized geography; residential patterns of the workforce; relationship between worker employment and home locations Annual time resolution; less detailed firm/person characteristics LODES Transitions between jobs by timing and firm or worker characteristics; transitions to/from nonemployment No worker characteristics by firm characteristics (except geography), no geography below states* J2J *Data product is still under development.

Choosing Among LED Data Access Points Data Product Explore the data, answer questions, or get visualizations Bulk data for use in analysis process/software Live queries for building web applications QWI QWI Explorer LED Extraction Tool Raw data download Census Bureau API LODES OnTheMap OnTheMap for Emergency Management Raw data download Future development J2J Job-to-Job Explorer (forthcoming) Future Development

6/02/2014 Data Tools

Recognized by United Nations as a major U.S. statistical innovation OnTheMap Recognized by United Nations as a major U.S. statistical innovation Where do workers live? Where do residents work? What are the commuter flows of a particular area? Analyze/report by worker demographics: age, earnings, race, ethnicity, educational attainment, and sex Analyze/report by firm characteristics: NAICS Sector, firm age, and firm size 2002-2014 annual data 50 states available (plus DC) User-selected areas Based on Census Blocks Disclosure protection Flexible Inputs/Outputs

6/02/2014 Getting Started OnTheMap.CES.Census.Gov

Area Profile

Home Area Comparison

Distance/Direction

Destination

Inflow/Outflow

Paired Area

Selection and Base Map Tabs 6/02/2014 Selection and Base Map Tabs

OnTheMap for Emergency Management Hurricanes, Floods, Winter Storms Disaster Areas Wildfires Demographic & Economic Data Comprehensive Reports Real-time Data Updates Easy-to-use & Interoperable Historical Event Archive Flexible Analyses & Visualizations New Public Data Service for Emergency Preparedness & Response

Real Time

DR-4211

6/02/2014 Vulnerabilities

Economic Migration All Educational Background

Economic Migration Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

Job-to-Job Explorer (forthcoming) 6/02/2014 Job-to-Job Explorer (forthcoming)

6/02/2014 Guided Entry http://j2j.quintana.excensus-online.com/

6/02/2014 Are Hires To Jobs In Tennessee Coming From Nonemployment Or Another Job? MHires – Hires into workers main job J2JHires – Hires following a separation NEPersist – Hires following a spell of persistent nonemployment

Job-to-Job Hires to 20 Industries in Tennessee by Year/Quarter Q2 Series 2000 - 2015

Job-to-Job Hires in Healthcare and Social Services

Web Addresses for Tools LED Extraction Tool http://ledextract.ces.census.gov/ QWI Explorer http://qwiexplorer.ces.census.gov/ OnTheMap http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/ OnTheMap for Emergency Management http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/em.html

Takeaways The LED Partnership provides unique workforce information and analysis tools at a relatively low cost LED data products (QWI, LODES, J2J) can give insight into local and regional economies and labor markets LED’s web tools provide free, 24/7 access to a basic analytical platform for the data

Useful Links QWI Explorer 6/02/2014 QWI Explorer Video Walkthrough: http://lehd.ces.census.gov/applications/help/qwi_explorer.html#!video_walkthrough Example Scenarios: http://lehd.ces.census.gov/applications/help/qwi_explorer.html#!example_scenarios