Econ 3790: Business and Economics Statistics

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Presentation transcript:

Econ 3790: Business and Economics Statistics Instructor: Yogesh Uppal Email: yuppal@ysu.edu

Lecture 2 Review of Lecture 1 Numerical methods for summarizing data: Location Variability Distribution measures

Measures of Location Mean Median Mode Percentiles Quartiles If the measures are computed for data from a sample, they are called sample statistics. Where are the data? All of these methods except for mode, refer only to use with quantitative data. If the measures are computed for data from a population, they are called population parameters.

Mean The mean of a data set is the average of all the data values. The sample mean is the point estimator of the population mean m.

Sample Mean ( ) Sum of the values of the n observations Number of in the sample Go over summation notation, including notating the position of each observation in a dataset. Start making chart with population and sample analogs.

Population Mean m Sum of the values of the N observations Number of observations in the population

Go Penguins, Again!!! Month Opponents Rushing TDs Sep SLIPPERY ROCK 4 NORTHEASTERN at Liberty 1 at Pittsburgh Oct ILLINOIS STATE at Indiana State WESTERN ILLINOIS 2 MISSOURI STATE at Northern Iowa Nov at Southern Illinois WESTERN KENTUCKY 3

Sample Mean of TDs

Go Penguins…… Rushing TDs Frequency fi.*xi 3 0*3=0 1 2 1*2=2 2*1=2 3 0*3=0 1 2 1*2=2 2*1=2 3*1=3 4 4*4=16   Total=11 Total=23

Sample Mean for Grouped Data Where Mi = the mid-point for class i fi = the frequency for class i n = the sample size

Median The median of a data set is the value in the middle when the data items are arranged in ascending order. Whenever a data set has extreme values, the median is the preferred measure of central location. The median is the measure of location most often reported for annual income and property value data. A few extremely large incomes or property values can inflate the mean.

Median with odd number of Obs. Month Opponents Rushing TDs Sep at Pittsburgh Oct at Northern Iowa Nov at Southern Illinois at Liberty 1 Illinois State Western Illinois 2 Western Kentucky 3 Slippery Rock 4 Northeastern at Indiana State Missouri State

Median So the middle value is the game against Western Illinois in October. The median number of TDs is 2.

Median with even number of Obs. For an even number of observations: 26 18 27 12 14 27 30 19 8 observations 12 14 18 19 26 27 27 30 in ascending order the median is the average of the middle two values. Median = (19 + 26)/2 = 22.5

Mode The mode of a data set is the value that occurs with greatest frequency. The greatest frequency can occur at two or more different values. If the data have exactly two modes, the data are bimodal. If the data have more than two modes, the data are multimodal. The measure of location used most often with qualitative data.

Mode Modal value for our Go Penguins example is 4 TDs.

Percentiles A percentile provides information about how the data are spread over the interval from the smallest value to the largest value. Admission test scores for colleges and universities are frequently reported in terms of percentiles.

Percentiles The pth percentile of a data set is a value such that at least p percent of the items take on this value or less and at least (100 - p) percent of the items take on this value or more.

Percentiles Arrange the data in ascending order. Compute index i, the position of the pth percentile. i = (p/100)n If i is not an integer, round up to the next integer. The p th percentile is the value in the i th position. If i is an integer, the p th percentile is the average of the values in positions i and i +1.

Example: Rental Market in Youngstown Again Sample of 28 rental listings from craigslist:

Rounding it to the next integer, which is 90th Percentile i = (p/100)*n = (90/100)*28 = 25.2 Rounding it to the next integer, which is the 26th position 90th Percentile = 660

Averaging the 14th and 15th data values: 50th Percentile i = (p/100)n = (50/100)28 = 14 Averaging the 14th and 15th data values: 50th Percentile = (520 + 540)/2 = 530

Percentile Rank The percentile rank of a data value of a variable is the percentage of all elements with values less than or equal to that data value. Of course it is related to pth percentile we found earlier. If the pth percentile of a dataset is some value (Let us say 400), then the percentile rank of 400 is p%.

Percentile Rank (Cont’d) Percentile Rank can be calculated as follows: PR of a score = (Cumulative Fre. of that score / Total Fre.)*100 Or Cumulative Relative frequency * 100

Example 1: Go Penguins (Cont’d) Rushing TDs Cumulative Fre. Cumulative Relative Fre. PR 3 0.27 27% 1 5 0.45 45% 2 6 0.54 54% 7 0.63 63% 4 11 100% Total  

Quartiles Quartiles are specific percentiles. First Quartile = 25th Percentile Second Quartile = 50th Percentile = Median Third Quartile = 75th Percentile

First Quartile First quartile = 25th percentile i = (p/100)n = (25/100)28 = 7 Averaging 7th and 8th data values First quartile = (440+470)/2 = 455

Third Quartile Third quartile = 75th percentile i = (p/100)n = (75/100)28 = 21 Averaging 21st and 22nd data values Third quartile = (595+595)/2 = 595

Measures of Variability It is often desirable to consider measures of variability (dispersion), as well as measures of location. For example, in choosing supplier A or supplier B we might consider not only the average delivery time for each, but also the variability in delivery time for each. We do not generally use measures of variability to describe qualitative data.

Measures of Variability Range Interquartile Range Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation

Range The range of a data set is the difference between the largest and smallest data values. It is the simplest measure of variability. It is very sensitive to the smallest and largest data values.

Consider our penguins TDs data Month Opponents Rushing TDs Sep at Pittsburgh Oct at Northern Iowa Nov at Southern Illinois at Liberty 1 Illinois State Western Illinois 2 Western Kentucky 3 Slippery Rock 4 Northeastern at Indiana State Missouri State

Range = largest value - smallest value

Interquartile Range The interquartile range of a data set is the difference between the third quartile and the first quartile. It is the range for the middle 50% of the data. It overcomes the sensitivity to extreme data values.

Interquartile Range = Q3 - Q1 = 4 - 0 = 4 3rd Quartile (Q3) = (75/100)*11=8.25 3rd Quartile is 4 1st Quartile (Q1) = 0 Interquartile Range = Q3 - Q1 = 4 - 0 = 4

Variance The variance is a measure of variability that utilizes all the data. It is based on the difference between the value of each observation (xi) and the mean ( for a sample, m for a population). Basically we are talking about how the data is SPREAD around the mean.

Variance The variance is the average of the squared differences between each data value and the mean. The variance is computed as follows: for a sample for a population Add to the list of population and sample analogs.

When data is presented as a frequency Table Then, the variance is computed as follows:

Standard Deviation The standard deviation of a data set is the positive square root of the variance. It is measured in the same units as the data, making it more easily interpreted than the variance.

Standard Deviation The standard deviation is computed as follows: for a sample for a population