119th New England Electricity Restructuring Roundtable

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Presentation transcript:

119th New England Electricity Restructuring Roundtable The Impacts of Major New Environmental Regulations on New England's Electricity Future October 29, 2010 119th New England Electricity Restructuring Roundtable

Industry Challenges Continue environmental improvements Minimize economic impacts to consumers Maintain system reliability Maintain fuel diversity options Obtain access to capital and cost recovery Long term planning in extremely uncertain and rapidly changing environmental regulatory arena

Dominion Emissions Reductions Resulting from Approximately $3 Dominion Emissions Reductions Resulting from Approximately $3.7B of Investments in Environmental Improvements * * 2005: Dominion acquisition of NE fossil assets

Minimizing Economic Impacts to Consumers Long investment horizons (20-30 years) require some ‘educated predictions’ of expected future legislative, regulatory and policy actions Proper planning means that energy providers cannot – and do not – plan one rule at a time; we need to take a comprehensive approach The highly uncertain, rapidly evolving environmental regulatory environment makes the very difficult

-- adapted from Wegman (EPA 2003) Updated 2.15.10

Air Regulations Clean Air Transport Rule (CATR) Proposal Final Rule: Expected Spring 2011 CAIR replacement rule, called “Transport Rule” NOx emission reductions by January 1, 2012, ozone-season NOx reductions by May 1, 2012 SO2 emission reductions, Phase I by January 1, 2012 and Phase II by January 1, 2014 New NO2 Ambient Standard Final Rule: January 25, 2010 Compliance Date: 2017 New short-term, 1-hour National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for NO2 at 100 ppb Initially only 1 non-attainment area in Cook County, IL, using data through 2008. Additional monitoring to be done near roadways and expect additional designations in 2016-2017 timeframe. New Ambient SO2 Standard New short-term, 1-hour National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for SO2 at 75 ppb. Final rule: June 2, 2010 Compliance Date: 2014-2017 Potential additional requirements for SO2.   Currently only Merrimack, NH county only non-attainment using 2007-2009 data. Even though MA, CT and RI will have monitored attainment, they will be “unclassified” until the state can demonstrate attainment through modeling of large sources.

Air Regulations (con’t) New Utility MACT Rule Final Rule: November 2011 Compliance Date: November 2014-November 2015 MACT is maximum control achieved in practice by top 12% of like units in a source category. Ozone NAAQS Proposed Rule: January 2010 Final Rule: October 2010 (may be delayed) Compliance Date: 2014-2015 EPA is proposing to strengthen the primary NAAQS for ozone to a level between 60 and 70 ppb from the current 75 ppb. Majority of New England will be in non-attainment no matter where they set it.

Greenhouse Gas Tailoring Rule Final Rule: May 2010 Compliance Date: January 2, 2011: New sources and modified sources that must already obtain permits for non-GHG pollutants (such as SO2, NOx, and PM) will be required to obtain GHG permits and implement Best Available Control Technology (BACT) if they increase their GHG emissions by at least 75,000 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e)per year. July 1, 2011: The GHG permitting and BACT requirements expand to affect new sources that have the potential to emit at least 100,000 tons per year (tpy) CO2e and to existing sources with GHG emissions by at least 75,000 tpy (regardless of whether or not they trigger permitting requirements for other pollutants). Sources that emit at least 100,000 tons of GHGs per year will also be required to account for GHG emissions in their Title V operating permits starting July 2011. Still awaiting EPA GHG BACT Guidance document. Concern about permitting delays while regulators and companies negotiate BACT for GHGs – no experience. Very important that biomass be considered carbon neutral to encourage new, renewable energy.

New Federal Ash Rules EPA is proposing to regulate ash, either as a hazardous or non-hazardous waste. Final Rule: 2011 We believe that EPA should go with the Subtitle D “Prime” option which will establish an environmentally protective program for CCB disposal units without adversely affecting coal ash beneficial use and imposing unnecessary regulatory costs on power plants, threatening jobs and increasing electricity costs. existing impoundments could continue to operate for remainder of useful life; would not require closure or installation of composite liners in existing surface impoundments that meet groundwater and dam integrity standards and perform in an environmentally sound manner; and all other “D” requirements would remain the same.

New Cooling Water Intake Structure Rules Final Rule: 2012 Compliance Date: ? EPA is developing new rules under Clean Water Act Section 316(b) that govern existing utilities that employ a cooling water intake structure and that have flow levels exceeding a minimum threshold (125 MGD). New rule should be consistent with the Supreme Court ruling on cost-benefit analysis. Furthermore, cost benefit analysis should be done on a site specific basis. Stringent 316(b) rules are contrary to EPA’s carbon/clean air agenda. Diverts capital away from clean air projects Reduces generation capacity of existing facilities

Effluent Guidelines Proposed Rule: 2011-2012 Final Rule: 2013 Compliance Date: 2016-2018 More stringent limitations and/or requirements for new treatment technologies at most generation facilities for discharges from ash ponds, metal ponds, coal pile runoff, boiler blowdown, etc.

National GHG Legislation A year ago, we anticipated Congress would pass GHG legislation Dominion supported national cap-and-trade legislation with reasonable targets and timetables New Congress not expected to pass carbon legislation in near term As a result, regional programs are continuing and EPA moving toward regulation under Clean Air Act which was not designed with GHGs in mind.

Tackling the Maze of Environmental Requirements Maintain electric system reliability Large capital investments Electric companies need regulatory certainty Need air regulation compliance dates to synchronize Would like a reasonable transition for the electric generating fleet for units that will be shutdown, converted, repowered or fully controlled.

Brayton Point Cooling Towers Located in Somerset/Fall River, MA

Brayton Point Cooling Towers Located in Somerset/Fall River, MA

Points of Contact Pamela Faggert VP and Chief Environmental Officer (804) 273-3467 pamela.faggert@dom.com Daniel A. Weekley Managing Director-Northeast (860) 444-5271 daniel.a.weekley@dom.com