ISU Extension Weekly Outlook 17 June 2019

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Presentation transcript:

ISU Extension Weekly Outlook 17 June 2019 Dennis Todey Director, Midwest Climate Hub Dennis.todey@ars.usda.gov Charlene Felkley Coordinator, Midwest Climate Hub Charlene.felkley@ars.usda.gov

Sunday 4” soil temperature Avg. 4” soil temps – 60s northeast to 70s elsewhere. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/agclimate/soilt.php

USDA NASS Crop Progress (through June 9) Corn progress nationally through June 9 (83% planted -16%; 62% -31%) both latest on record. Iowa still better than many states (93% -7%; 73% -24%).

USDA NASS Crop Progress (through June 9) Bean progress nationally through June 9 (60% planted -28%; 34% -39%) third latest planting (behind 1995 and 1996) – latest emergence. Iowa still better than many states (70% -25%; 35% -48%).

7 Day precip (through 7 AM Monday) Pockets of 2-3” around the state. More widespread around an inch. Less from west to southern IA. https://water.weather.gov/precip/

30 Day Precip. Total/% Avg. Totals less than 5” west central to near 11” in the southeast. 150-200% of average in the south and far NW. Slightly below average west central. https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps

90 Day Precip. Total/% Avg. 8-20” last 90 days. West central to north – pockets less than 80% average. Around 150% SE and NW. Dry pocket shows up because the March “bomb cyclone” falls out of the totals. Without that storm we actually do have dryness in the state. https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps

30 Day Temperatures Close to average (+/- 1 F) for much of the state. Around 2 F below in the northwest. https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps

US Drought Monitor No discussion of dryness in Iowa or nearby areas. D0 pockets in Minnesota. Northern North Dakota in D1. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

7 Day Forecast Precip. Return of more rain to Iowa – around 2” or more possible. Heavier rains further south/east in Corn Belt. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1484935973

8-14 Day Temp and Precip. Outlook End of June – above average precip chances continue. Closer to average temperatures good news for crops. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

Take Home Current conditions: Outlook info:. Lighter rains during last week. Some additional crop progress Mostly wetter than average in the state but some slightly drier areas west central Outlook info:. Rain issues should continue this week and likely into the end of June. Some heavier amounts possible. But wet soils cannot handle too much. Temperatures mostly moderate. Need some above average to push crop development. New longer range outlooks will be released Thursday June 20. Mosquito/disease issues likely to continue.

May Temperature May temperatures mostly colder than average. Signal more in the max temps. Top 10 coldest average highs central/western US. Warmer minimums eastern US https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

May/Spring Precipitation May and spring precipitation well above average through middle US Top 10 and wettest all time for a few states at these time scales https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

6/12 Month Precipitation Extended period of wetness back to a year. Top 10/record wettest in states back to a year. Wetness problems are long term issues. Iowa wettest June-May period on record (124 years) https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

Charlene Felkley, Coordinator For More Information Midwest Climate Hub @dennistodey https://www.climatehubs.oce.usda.gov/hubs/midwest Charlene Felkley, Coordinator Dennis Todey, Director Erica Kistner, Fellow 515-294-0136 515-294-2013 515-294-9602 Charlene.felkley@ars.usda.gov Dennis.todey@ars.usda.gov Erica.kristner@ars.usda.gov Research and Science Information Synthesis Tool Development, Technology Exchange, and Implementation Assistance Stakeholder Education, Outreach, and Engagement National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment Attn: Midwest Climate Hub 1015 N University Blvd Ames, Iowa 50011-3611