The escalating global burden of serious health-related suffering: projections to 2060 by world regions, age groups, and health conditions Katherine E.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Food systems, nutrition, health and the environment

Advertisements

Prof Rifat Atun, FRCP, Sachin Silva, MSc, Prof Felicia M Knaul, PhD

Effect of a bereavement support group on female adolescents' psychological health: a randomised controlled trial in South Africa Prof Tonya Renee Thurman,

Disparities and change over time in distance women would need to travel to have an abortion in the USA: a spatial analysis Dr Jonathan M Bearak, PhD,

The commercial determinants of health

Helen Cox, Mark P Nicol The Lancet Infectious Diseases

The impact of megacities on health: preparing for a resilient future

Natural environments and suicide mortality in the Netherlands: a cross-sectional, ecological study Marco Helbich, PhD, Derek de Beurs, PhD, Prof Mei-Po.

Assessment of progress towards universal health coverage for people with disabilities in Afghanistan: a multilevel analysis of repeated cross-sectional.

Frailty and pre-frailty in middle-aged and older adults and its association with multimorbidity and mortality: a prospective analysis of 493 737 UK Biobank.

Charity begins at home in global health research funding

Threats to human health by great ocean garbage patches

Pollution and non-communicable disease: time to end the neglect

Prevalence of cerebral palsy in Uganda: a population-based study

Do air quality alerts benefit public health? New evidence from Canada

Global, regional, and subregional trends in unintended pregnancy and its outcomes from 1990 to 2014: estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical model Jonathan.

Gender myths in global health

Volume 389, Issue 10071, Pages (February 2017)

Effective cross-sector collaborations create sustainability

Socioeconomic differences in mortality in the antiretroviral therapy era in Agincourt, rural South Africa, 2001–13: a population surveillance analysis

The effect of explosive remnants of war on global public health: a systematic mixed- studies review using narrative synthesis Alexandra Frost, MSc, Prof.

Suicide and the natural environment: an Indigenous view

National, regional, and global prevalence of smoking during pregnancy in the general population: a systematic review and meta-analysis Shannon Lange,

Arnaud Chiolero The Lancet Public Health

Anthony Rodgers, Alistair Woodward, Boyd Swinburn, William H Dietz

Estimation of national, regional, and global prevalence of alcohol use during pregnancy and fetal alcohol syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Disparities and change over time in distance women would need to travel to have an abortion in the USA: a spatial analysis Dr Jonathan M Bearak, PhD,

Food systems, nutrition, health and the environment

Socioeconomic differences in mortality in the antiretroviral therapy era in Agincourt, rural South Africa, 2001–13: a population surveillance analysis

Sherif M Abdalla, Robert Bortolussi, Noni E MacDonald

The effect of multiple adverse childhood experiences on health: a systematic review and meta-analysis Prof Karen Hughes, PhD, Prof Mark A Bellis, DSc,

Measuring health and economic wellbeing in the Sustainable Development Goals era: development of a poverty-free life expectancy metric and estimates for.

Associations between fast food and physical activity environments and adiposity in mid- life: cross-sectional, observational evidence from UK Biobank

Trends in infant mortality in Venezuela between 1985 and 2016: a systematic analysis of demographic data Jenny García, MSc, Prof Gerardo Correa, MSc,

Risk of poor development in young children in low-income and middle-income countries: an estimation and analysis at the global, regional, and country.

Age-dependent health risk from ambient air pollution: a modelling and data analysis of childhood mortality in middle-income and low-income countries

Effect of a bereavement support group on female adolescents' psychological health: a randomised controlled trial in South Africa Prof Tonya Renee Thurman,

Health impact of China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan: an analysis of national air quality monitoring and mortality data Jing Huang,

Tobacco use and second-hand smoke exposure in young adolescents aged 12–15 years: data from 68 low-income and middle-income countries Prof Bo Xi, PhD,

Elder abuse prevalence in community settings: a systematic review and meta-analysis Yongjie Yon, MA, Christopher R Mikton, PhD, Zachary D Gassoumis, PhD,

Sufang Guo, Nuzhat Rafique, Danzhen You, Douglas J Noble

The growth and strategic functioning of One Health networks: a systematic analysis Mishal S Khan, PhD, Peregrine Rothman-Ostrow, MSc, Julia Spencer, MSc,

Forecasting the care needs of the older population in England over the next 20 years: estimates from the Population Ageing and Care Simulation (PACSim)

Anna J Dare, Calvin Ke, Wilson Suraweera, Peter Rodriguez, Prabhat Jha

Effective interventions for unintentional injuries: a systematic review and mortality impact assessment among the poorest billion Andres I Vecino-Ortiz,

Thank you to our diverse (but not diverse enough) reviewers

Global burden of maternal and congenital syphilis in 2008 and 2012: a health systems modelling study N Saman Wijesooriya, MPH, Roger W Rochat, MD, Mary.

Matthieu J Guitton The Lancet Planetary Health

Estimation of PM2·5-associated disease burden in China in 2020 and 2030 using population and air quality scenarios: a modelling study Qing Wang, PhD,

Contributions of diseases and injuries to widening life expectancy inequalities in England from 2001 to 2016: a population-based analysis of vital registration.

Spatial lifecourse epidemiology

Buyun Liu, Yangbo Sun, Wei Bao The Lancet Planetary Health

How concentrated are academic publications of countries' progression towards universal health coverage? Adrian Gheorghe, Kalipso Chalkidou, Anthony Culyer

Reducing the global burden of preterm births

Malaria innovations: pursuing value in an evolving market

Restructuring physical micro-environments to reduce the demand for meat: a systematic review and qualitative comparative analysis Filippo Bianchi, MPhil,

Jean H Humphrey, Andrew J Prendergast The Lancet Global Health

Reducing the cardiovascular disease burden for people of all ages in the Americas region: analysis of mortality data, 2000–15 Prof Peter Lloyd-Sherlock,

Improving management of neonatal infections

Population attributable fractions for risk factors for dementia in low-income and middle- income countries: an analysis using cross-sectional survey data

Deriving a practical framework for the evaluation of health apps

Excess under-5 female mortality across India: a spatial analysis using 2011 census data Christophe Z Guilmoto, PhD, Nandita Saikia, PhD, Vandana Tamrakar,

Peng Jia, Youfa Wang The Lancet Global Health

Lauri Romanzi, John G Meara, Erin Anastasi, Anneka T Knutsson

Evaluation of the effect of the herpes zoster vaccination programme 3 years after its introduction in England: a population-based study Gayatri Amirthalingam,

Economic decline, incarceration, and mortality from drug use disorders in the USA between 1983 and 2014: an observational analysis Elias Nosrati, PhD,

Effect of strikes by health workers on mortality between 2010 and 2016 in Kilifi, Kenya: a population-based cohort analysis Gerald Ong'ayo, MBChB, Michael.

Institutional challenges to achieving health equity in Ecuador

Sickle cell disease: a new era

Trends in temperature-related age-specific and sex-specific mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Spain: a national time-series analysis Hicham Achebak,

Presentation transcript:

The escalating global burden of serious health-related suffering: projections to 2060 by world regions, age groups, and health conditions Katherine E Sleeman, PhD, Maja de Brito, MSc, Simon Etkind, MB, Kennedy Nkhoma, PhD, Ping Guo, PhD, Prof Irene J Higginson, PhD, Barbara Gomes, PhD, Prof Richard Harding, PhD The Lancet Global Health Volume 7, Issue 7, Pages e883-e892 (July 2019) DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30172-X Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Projected evolution of burden of serious health-related suffering in World Bank income regions until 2060 The Lancet Global Health 2019 7, e883-e892DOI: (10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30172-X) Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Increase in serious health-related suffering from 2016 to 2060, by World Bank income region The Lancet Global Health 2019 7, e883-e892DOI: (10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30172-X) Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Changes in the number of people dying with serious health-related suffering for global population stratified by age group and sex The Lancet Global Health 2019 7, e883-e892DOI: (10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30172-X) Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Changes in the number of people dying with serious health-related suffering, stratified by age group and sex, for World Bank income regions The Lancet Global Health 2019 7, e883-e892DOI: (10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30172-X) Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 5 Health conditions driving the global burden of serious health-related suffering (2016–60) *Excluding leukaemia. †Including birth trauma, low birthweight, and prematurity. The Lancet Global Health 2019 7, e883-e892DOI: (10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30172-X) Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 6 Health conditions driving the global burden of serious health-related suffering in World Bank income regions (2016–60) *Excluding leukaemia. †Including birth trauma, low birthweight, and prematurity. The Lancet Global Health 2019 7, e883-e892DOI: (10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30172-X) Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions