Exposure to Pro-Russia Media

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Presentation transcript:

Exposure to Pro-Russia Media UASCORE 2016 - 2018 Hypothesis: What factors can serve as resilience factors against impact of Exposure to Pro-Russian media on Trust in Institutions? Variables from Phase 1 & Phase 2 Panel sample: 6102

Pro-Russia Media Consumption: Pro-eu orientation predictive model Panel Sample: 6102 UASCORE 2016 & 2018  Pro-EU Orientation Pro-Russia orientation Exposure to Pro-Russia media Trust in Institutions Soviet Nostalgia Empathy Perceived Service Delivery Human Security

Pro-Russia Media Consumption: Heatmap 2018 The extent to which one is exposed to Russian media sources. Kharkivska Luganska We choose the selected oblast due to their geographic location and correlation with exposure to pro Russia media. In contrast, Zaporiz’ska had a positive correlation (r =.146) so we did not used in the analysis. Donetska Odeska Zaporiz’ska has a positive correlation with ‘Exposure to Pro-Russia Media’

Exposure to Pro Russia Media Pro-Russia Media Consumption: Relation to trust in institutions (regression) Pro EU orientation Services Political Security Pro-Russia media consumption doesn’t influence human rights ethos and social tolerance Personal Security Trust in institutions Economical Security Control for Age, Education and Gender Perceived corruption Exposure to Pro Russia Media

Exposure to Pro-Russia Media Pro-Russia Media Consumption: Relation to trust in institutions (SEM) SEM Model Services Political Security Control for Age, Education and Gender Pro-EU Orientation Perceived corruption Exposure to Pro-Russia Media Trust in Institutions

Pro-Russia Media Consumption: Resilience and risk factors Pro-Human Rights Resilience factor Vulnerability factor Risk factors State Services Human Security Aggression Authoritarianism Exposure to Pro-Russian Media Trust in Institutions

Pro-Russia Media Consumption: Non significant Executive Skills Family Coherence Social Skills Community Cooperation Social Tolerance Empathy Depression and self harm Psychosocial Adjustment Index Education Age Strength of civic initiatives Trust in media Multiculturalism experience Fatigue from conflict Pluralistic Ukrainian Identity Soviet Nostalgia Pro EU Orientation

Annex – Exposure to Pro-Russia media

Exposure to Pro-Russia Media: Descriptive information per Oblast Exposure to Pro Russia Media with Trust in institutionscorrelations​ Trust in institutions​ Exposure to Pro Russia Media​ Trust in national authorities​ Trust in security services​ Trust in local  authorities​ Trust in  community​ Trust in media​ Donetska (N=1052)​ -.129**​ 3.32​ 3.65​ 1.51​ 3.13​ 2.94​ 5.02​ 3.85​ Luganska (N=441)​ -.252**​ 3.84​ 3.16​ 2.52​ 4.05​ 3.89​ 4.85​ Odeska (N=945)​ -.125**​ 3.49​ 3.80​ 1.91​ 3.48​ 2.93​ 5.00​ 3.59​ Kharkivska (N=295)​ -.313**​ 3.50​ 3.40​ 1.74​ 3.74​ 3.02​ 5.05​ 4.02​   Ukraine stands for the whole Ukraine sample (9018)

Exposure to Pro-Russia Media: Descriptive information Moderation Pro Human rights State services Economic security Personal security Political security Trait aggression Authorita-rism Donetska 6.92 4.65 4.78 4.39 6.00 1.88 4.80 Luganska 4.90 5.01 5.11 6.32 1.40 4.81 Odeska 6.17 4.59 4.48 3.84 6.39 2.03 5.06 Kharkivska 6.68 4.15 4.86 5.18 6.25 2.18 4.63 Ukraine 6.49 4.82 4.95 6.73 2.04 Ukraine stands for the whole Ukraine sample (9018)

Does pro-Russian media has an effect on belief in human rights and tolerance (beyond political preferences)? For Eastern Ukraine low to no significant correlations between ‘Exposure to Pro Russia media’ with ‘Pro Human rights’ (r=.07*) or ‘Social Tolerance’ (r=-.01) In regression analysis ‘Exposure to Pro Russia media’ predict very poorly ‘Pro Human rights’ (β=.04 and r=.07), while it was not a significant predictor for Social Tolerance. Regional differences among the oblast that were selected for the moderation