Fig. 1 Most models of biological responses to climate change omit important biological mechanisms. Most models of biological responses to climate change.

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Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change

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Presentation transcript:

Fig. 1 Most models of biological responses to climate change omit important biological mechanisms. Most models of biological responses to climate change omit important biological mechanisms. Only 23% of reviewed studies (4) included a biological mechanism. Models that included one mechanism usually incorporated others, but no model included all six mechanisms. All models included environmental variation, generally via correlations, but usually did not explicitly incorporate species’ sensitivities to environmental variation at relevant spatiotemporal scales. M. C. Urban et al. Science 2016;353:aad8466 Copyright © 2016, American Association for the Advancement of Science