West Grampian Deer Management Group

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Presentation transcript:

West Grampian Deer Management Group

DEER CODE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENTAL DEER WELFARE DEER MANAGEMENT PLAN POPULATION MODEL INFORMATION: READILY AVAILABLE – ACROSS ALL MEMBERS EASY TO COLLECT/UPDATE MEANINGFUL FUTURE DIRECTION/DMP IMPLEMENTATION

WGDMG DEER MANAGEMENT PLAN To have reduced deer numbers in both Sub Groups to reduce localised deer impacts across the DMG resulting in both conservation and sustainable deer management objectives being met; To have implemented DMG wide Habitat Monitoring of Heather Moorland and Blanket Bog to help inform future management; To have implemented management to ensure Designated Sites are in Favourable/Unfavourable Recovering Due to management status;

AVERAGE VEGETATION HEIGHT (cm) 2007 18 2011 17.5 2017 15.6

EXPOSURE (Oct - Mar) Temp Range C AFD Rain (mm) 2007 12.9/-2.4 87 577.8 2008 9.9/4.3 90 452.8 2009 11.8/2.1 104 424.4 2010 10.7/0.8 519.2 2011 12.2/4.9 67 411.6 2012 9.1/2.7 110 420 2013 11.6/4.7 63 747.2 2014 12.0/4.0 83 651.2 2015 12.6/4.4 84 827.4 2016 11.4/6.1 91 403.2

ATHOLL POPULATION MODEL (40%/33% RECRUITMENT) Stags Hinds Calves Total Density Stag:Hind Counted pop 2017 (SNH HELI COUNT) 3142 3424 1246 7812 23 Pop post natural mortality in winter/spring Recruitment to adult pop on 1st June 1370 Pre cull pop July 2017 3827 4109 1644 9579 Cull 2017/18 Planned 420 1000 400 1820 Estimated pop 2018 3407 3109 1244 7759 22.8 1.1   3373 3078 1181 1231 Pre cull pop July 2018 3988 3693 1477 9159 Cull 2018/19 800 1620 Estimated pop 2019 3568 2893 1077 7539 22.2 1.2 3533 2864 1023 1146 Pre cull pop July 2019 4105 3437 1375 8918 Cull 2019/20 Estimated pop 2020 3685 2637 975 7298 21.5 1.4 3649 2611 926 1044 Pre cull pop July 2020 4171 3133 1253 8557 Cull 2020/21 Estimated pop 2021 3751 2333 853 6937 20.4 1.6 3713 2310 811 924 Pre cull pop July 2021 4175 2772 1109 8055 Cull 2021/22 Estimated pop 2022 3755 1972 709 6435 18.9 1.9

WGDMG (EXCL ATHOLL) POPULATION MODEL (40% RECRUITMENT) Stags Hinds Calves Total Density Stag:Hind Counted pop 2017 (SNH HELI COUNT) 3035 4004 1419 8458 22 Pop post natural mortality in winter/spring Recruitment to adult pop on 1st June 1602 Pre cull pop July 2017 3836 4805 1922 10563 Cull 2017/18 Planned 650 1200 400 2250 Estimated pop 2018 3186 3605 1522 8313 22.1 0.9   3154 3569 1446 1428 Pre cull pop July 2018 3868 4283 1713 9863 Cull 2018/19 700 800 1900 Estimated pop 2019 3168 3483 1313 7963 21.2 3136 3448 1247 1379 Pre cull pop July 2019 3826 4137 1655 9618 Cull 2019/20 Estimated pop 2020 3126 3337 1255 7718 20.5 3094 3304 1192 1322 Pre cull pop July 2020 3755 3965 1586 9306 Cull 2020/21 Estimated pop 2021 3055 3165 1186 7406 19.7 1.0 3025 3133 1127 1253 Pre cull pop July 2021 3651 3760 1504 8914 Cull 2021/22 Estimated pop 2022 2951 2960 1104 7014 18.7

CONCLUSIONS High hind density depresses many aspects of deer performance Annual variation in weather generates cohorts of different size and lifetime performance Climate change looks to be improving deer performance All above suggests hill deer management should include regular counting and responsive culling It is acknowledged that there is substantial variation in the environment experienced by red deer in different part of Scotland