Multiplication Law for Several Events

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
CHAPTER 40 Probability.
Advertisements

CORE 1 UNIT 8 Patterns of Chance
Genetic Statistics Lectures (5) Multiple testing correction and population structure correction.
A.P. STATISTICS LESSON 6 – 2 (DAY2) PROBABILITY RULES.
Conditional Probability and Independence. Learning Targets 1. I can calculate conditional probability using a 2-way table. 2. I can determine whether.
CORE 1 Patterns in Chance. Daily Starter Begin Handout.
CSE 221: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Combinatorial problems Conditional probability Independent events (Sec , )
Chapter 4: Basic Probability
Probability Rules l Rule 1. The probability of any event (A) is a number between zero and one. 0 < P(A) < 1.
CHAPTER 5 PROBABILITY. CARDS & DICE BLACKRED CLUBSPADEDIAMONDHEARTTOTAL ACE11114 FACE CARD (K, Q, J) NUMBERED CARD (1-9) TOTAL13 52.
Conditional Probability and Independence If A and B are events in sample space S and P(B) > 0, then the conditional probability of A given B is denoted.
Chapter 12 – Probability and Statistics 12.1 – The Counting Principle.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Elementary Probability Theory 5.
A.P. STATISTICS LESSON 6.3 ( DAY 2 ) GENERAL PROBABILITY RULES ( EXTENDED MULTIPLICATION RULES )
Some Probability Rules Compound Events
Unit 3 We are learning to use a linear model to examine part-whole relationships and their connection to percents. We are developing strategies to find.
Chapter 4 Probability. Probability Defined A probability is a number between 0 and 1 that measures the chance or likelihood that some event or set of.
AP STATISTICS LESSON 6.3 (DAY 1) GENERAL PROBABILITY RULES.
EQT 272 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
MATH – High School Common Core Vs Kansas Standards.
©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 2008McGraw-Hill/Irwin A Survey of Probability Concepts Chapter 5.
Section 3.2 Notes Conditional Probability. Conditional probability is the probability of an event occurring, given that another event has already occurred.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Elementary Probability Theory 5.
Probability You’ll probably like it!. Probability Definitions Probability assignment Complement, union, intersection of events Conditional probability.
Topic 2 – Probability Basic probability - pages Conditional probability and independence - pages Bayes rule - pages 72 -
Probability Rules. We start with four basic rules of probability. They are simple, but you must know them. Rule 1: All probabilities are numbers between.
13.3 Conditional Probability and Intersections of Events Understand how to compute conditional probability. Calculate the probability of the intersection.
Example Suppose we roll a die and flip a coin. How many possible outcomes are there? Give the sample space. A and B are defined as: A={Die is a 5 or 6}
Chapter 4 Probability, Randomness, and Uncertainty.
+ Chapter 5 Overview 5.1 Introducing Probability 5.2 Combining Events 5.3 Conditional Probability 5.4 Counting Methods 1.
5.2 – Some Probability Rules: Compound Events Independent Events: if one outcome does not affect the outcome of another. – Replacement Dependent Events:
5.2 Day One Probability Rules. Learning Targets 1.I can describe a probability model for a chance process. 2.I can use basic probability rules, including.
Chapter 4 Probability Concepts Events and Probability Three Helpful Concepts in Understanding Probability: Experiment Sample Space Event Experiment.
I can find probabilities of compound events.. Compound Events  Involves two or more things happening at once.  Uses the words “and” & “or”
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 2 Probability.
Chapter 6 - Probability Math 22 Introductory Statistics.
Probability Michael J. Watts
STATISTICS 6.0 Conditional Probabilities “Conditional Probabilities”
Chapter 15: Probability Rules! Ryan Vu and Erick Li Period 2.
Probability Probability Day 3 Introduction to Probability Probability of Independent Events.
Chapter 3 Probability. 3.1 Basic Concepts of Probability I.Probability Experiments Probability is the foundation of inferential statistics Probability.
Section 9-7 Probability of Multiple Events. Multiple Events When the occurrence of one event affects the probability of a second event the two events.
CHAPTER 5 Probability: What Are the Chances?
Elementary Probability Theory
Independence.
CHAPTER 5 Probability: What Are the Chances?
A Survey of Probability Concepts
4 Elementary Probability Theory
Chapter 4 Probability.
Statistics 300: Introduction to Probability and Statistics
A Survey of Probability Concepts
Applicable Mathematics “Probability”
4 Elementary Probability Theory
Conditional Probability AGENDA
CHAPTER 4 (Part B) PROBABILITY
Section 6.2 Probability Models
Additional notes on random variables
Chapter 2.3 Counting Sample Points Combination In many problems we are interested in the number of ways of selecting r objects from n without regard to.
COnDITIONAL Probability
Additional notes on random variables
Section 11.7 Probability.
Chapter 9 Probability.
Wed + nes + day! Warm-Up… Quickwrite…
Section 12.6 OR and AND Problems
Probability Rules Rule 1.
the addition law for events that are not mutually exclusive
Probability Multiplication law for dependent events
Probability Mutually exclusive and exhaustive events
9J Conditional Probability, 9K Independent Events
Basic Probability Chapter Goal:
Presentation transcript:

Multiplication Law for Several Events General multiplication law is extended to several components

The general multiplication rules are useful in solving many problems in which the ultimate outcome of an experiment depends on the outcomes of various intermediate stages.

Conditional Probability The four attendants of a gasoline service station are supposed to wash the windshield of each customer’s car. Janet, who services 20% of all cars, fails to wash the windshield one time in 20 Tom, who services 60% of all cars, fails to wash the windshield one time in 10 Georgia, who services 15% of all cars, fails to wash the windshield one time in 10 Peter, who services 5% of all cars, fails to wash the windshield one time in 20.

Conditional Probability If a customer later complained that her windshield was not washed, what is the probability that her car was serviced by Janet?

Solution All these are mutually exclusive events. Pr[windshield was not washed|Janet serviced the car] =

Probability and Sampling Probability is especially important in summarizing potential sampling results. Because multiple observations are usually involved in statistical evaluations, the probability calculations can be complicated. Probability trees can be helpful in organizing these computations.

Problem from book. Example on page 176 (text book)

Independent Sample Observation Sampling without replacement: When inspected sample units are set aside. Sampling