The Science Budget in 2018 and Beyond: Update and Outlook Matt Hourihan June 21, 2018 For the AAAS S&T Policy Forum AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/rd

Challenges in Budget Execution? The cautionary tale of ARPA-E GAO: The administration “withheld from obligation $91 million of budget authority in violation of the Impoundment Control Act.” Legislators certainly seem to have noticed… Regular continuing resolutions Every year since 1997 Uncertainty = delayed hiring, reviews, awards, contracts, new starts, potentially scaled-back funding Can mean negative impacts on universities, contractors, postdocs and students Short-term versus long-term planning Eventual spending crunch: “use it or lose it mentality” Public and private costs, risks, inefficiencies

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Traditional Areas of Conflict Since FY 2010… Climate and Environment USGS: - 10% EPA S&T: -27% NOAA Climate Research: -39% However: NASA Earth Science: +17% DOE environmental research roughly flat since FY 2010 Energy Renewables, efficiency, fossil mostly lagging behind discretionary Now around 3-8% below FY10 levels However: Office of Nuclear Energy: +24% Office of Electricity: +30% ARPA-E: +76% above FY11 levels Hubs have survived so far… Manufacturing Programs NIST Industrial Technology Services -30% (due largely to termination of Technology Innovation Program in 2012) EERE Advanced Manufacturing Office: near-double FY 2010 levels; manufacturing institutes have survived to date DOD manufacturing programs also appear to have grown (especially manufacturing institutes)

mhouriha@aaas.org 202-326-6607 http://www.aaas.org/rd @MattHourihan For more info… mhouriha@aaas.org 202-326-6607 http://www.aaas.org/rd @MattHourihan

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