Risk is something we must consider in our work with farmers “Why don’t people do what we suggest?” “Why don’t they change more quickly?” “Why do they continue to do things which don’t make sense? (to us)” Source : S. Cook, CIAT
Risk is… The likelihood of doing the wrong thing or not doing the right thing Benefit No benefit Change Win Type II error No change Type I error Don’t lose ? ? Source : S. Cook, CIAT
Some risks may be: better understood by farmers (such as impacts of a new technology on their labour) better understood by researchers (such as long term risks to do with climate or erosion)
So…. Some changes are needed to reduce risk Other changes increase risk Working together in evaluating new technologies will help researchers and farmers to understand which changes reduce risk Source : S. Cook, CIAT
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