Low carbon trucking the road to 2030 and beyond Stef Cornelis Safer and Cleaner Truck Officer Stef.cornelis@transportenvironment.org

T&E: 27 COUNTRIES 49 MEMBER & SUPPORT GROUPS

Context

2030 climate package – 40% GHG cuts by 2030

Non-ets targets - No time to waste

Truck trends Increasing demand, reverse modal shift and insufficient fuel efficiency improvement “Freight will replace passenger traffic as main source of CO2 emissions from surface transport” (ITF + ICCT) For trucks the picture is quite different Fastest increasing subsegment of road transport, a lot faster than cars or vans Key drivers demand growth & no progress on truck fuel efficiency

Non-ets targets for the nordics Situation in Denmark Member state Effort-sharing target (vs. 2005) by 2030 EU -30% Denmark -39% Finland Norway -40% Sweden

The way forward

A. Truck co2 standards – the first step ‘This Commission will, therefore, speed up analytical work on design options for carbon dioxide emission standards for such vehicles and will launch a public consultation to prepare the ground for a proposal during this mandate.’

Still lots of potential Commission: -35% with 2-3 year payback periods ICCT -40% by 2030 with 2-3 year payback periods New EU research: on-going For trucks the picture is quite different Fastest increasing subsegment of road transport, a lot faster than cars or vans Key drivers demand growth & no progress on truck fuel efficiency

Cleaner and safer trucks New designs allowed from 2020 For trucks the picture is quite different Fastest increasing subsegment of road transport, a lot faster than cars or vans Key drivers demand growth & no progress on truck fuel efficiency

Yes we can

B. WHAT ABOUT BIOFUELS? Phase-out support for 1st generation biofuels and target Ethanol: ILUC emissions and scalability Major share in transport is biodiesel Rather support advanced biofuels (sustainability criteria) Cannot bring the longterm savings we need

C. Electrification for longterm objectives Different initiatives on national level Possibility to make the grid clean Which way forward (eHighway, hydrogen, PtX, ...) Time for an EU Low Carbon Trucking Strategy Renewable electricity of gross consumption in 2030 (%) EU28 42.5 Denmark 71.4 Finland 46.3 Sweden 68.9

conclusions Trucks big part of Europe’s climate problem – growing emissions Diesel will play major role in near future – truck CO2 standards can bring the biggest savings here Longer term perspective – advanced biofuels bring limited savings Electrification to reach the 2050 target - strategy needs to be developed