Lynne Kiesling, Purdue University Michael Munger, Duke University

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Presentation transcript:

From Airbnb to Solar: Toward a Transaction Cost Model of a Retail Electricity Platform Lynne Kiesling, Purdue University Michael Munger, Duke University Alexander Theisen, Northwestern University

Digital technologies are transaction cost reducers Digital devices, commerce, exchange Falling transaction costs Actor A Actor B Transaction costs Source: digital.gov

Disruptive home energy technologies & evolving consumer choices shape the need for and pace of grid modernization Source: https://www.ecobee.com/ecobee4/ Source: http://www.thefabricofthings.com/2016/07/22/smart-kitchen-appliance/ “A smart … appliance does more; it saves time, energy and money, and all with exceptional levels of performance. … By delegating more tasks and options to the appliance, we can save time and effort, as the appliance will even choose the best time to operate and the most economical program to use, taking away the worry of selecting the most economical program.” Source: https://www.tesla.com/solarroof

A platform business model: Airbnb The growth of business models based on digital platform sharing -- with Uber and Airbnb standing out as obvious examples -- has attracted both popular and scholarly attention. But there has been little price-theoretic analysis of the underlying economic forces driving these dramatic changes.

The paper’s research questions What are the effects on asset ownership when transaction cost reductions make a decentralized rental market possible? How do these general effects manifest themselves in the case of residential digital home energy management and distributed energy resources (DERs)?

Inspiration from and contribution to multiple literatures Empirical analyses of residential DERs Transaction cost economics Platforms and the sharing economy

A transaction cost model Building on Horton & Zeckhauser (2015), adding an outside option Economy with n agents, subjective preferences over asset ownership and substitutability Stage 1: asset choice Asset market Agent chooses to purchase asset or not Stage 2: energy choice Given Stage 1 decision, agent chooses (1) how much to consume and (2) own supply if an owner or grid supply, or both Two cases in this stage: no rental market, rental market Solve the model by backward induction in two different cases Without a rental market With a rental market, after transaction cost-reducing innovation

Implications for asset ownership decision Without rental market Subjective individual parameters (a,l) matter for asset ownership decision If own-supplied and grid-supplied energy are perfect substitutes, ownership only occurs if asset has a low price relative to the outside option With rental market Ownership decision no longer depends on agent’s individual use of the asset (a), so the option to rent using a market platform changes the ownership decision Existence of rental market makes the opportunity cost of excess capacity salient Subjective preference over substitutability (l) drives ownership – preference for green power, preference for local/community

Parameter heat maps show combinations of use intensity (a) and substitutability preferences (l) that lead to increased DER ownership with platform markets

Breaking apart the price of grid power Physical reality: wires delivery is inescapable pg = pe + pw Grid-purchased power is a multi-product purchase This gives us another important empirical dimension: split between energy price and wires price – grid services Implications for grid defection – invest in asset to avoid pw Implications for incidence of the grid services fee

From a one-way road to the grid of things: Regulated wires company as a grid services platform

Further work Retail transactive energy platform market design – devil in the details (e.g., DSO, who operates markets) Economic experiment design based on Transaction cost model of market for excess capacity Platform design proposals discussed in current policy frameworks Modeling the regulatory institutions compatible with electricity distribution platforms

Conclusion Digital technologies reduce transaction costs We model a platform business model arising from this reduction Creates new market in excess capacity & new gains from trade Shifts the distribution of asset owners Increases asset capacity if net ownership increases Apply to the electric distribution utility, which is facing disruption Innovation at the distribution edge and incentives to purchase capacity in e.g. solar PV, EVs Rather than grid defection, reinvigorate the value of distribution assets by the utility becoming a grid services platform company

Thank you for your time and attention!