CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea The ADRICOSM-STAR Project: ADRICOSM INTEGRATED RIVER BASIN AND COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM: MONTENEGRO COASTAL AREA AND BOJANA RIVER CATCHMENT Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change and INGV Bologna, Italy 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea ADRICOSM-STAR Participants 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea The ADRICOSM-STAR area Second largest maxima in coastal Chlorophyll in the whole Adriatic Sea Very complex surface and underground water system (karstic) Climate change coastal impact may be large 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea The problems of interest Assess the environmental quality of the Montenegro coastal area and the Bojana river today and in the future scenarios Assess the environmental quality of the Montenegro coastal area and the Bojana river today and in the future scenarios Study the local water cycle over Montenegro in order to assess the impact of global change on the coastal area, the Bojana river sediment transport, the water quality in the river and the coastal zone. Study the local water cycle over Montenegro in order to assess the impact of global change on the coastal area, the Bojana river sediment transport, the water quality in the river and the coastal zone. Develop and implement a coastal area, river and urban waters integrated management system that considers state-of-the-art observational and modelling components. Develop and implement a coastal area, river and urban waters integrated management system that considers state-of-the-art observational and modelling components. 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea ADRICOSM-STAR integrated monitoring and modelling approach Multidisciplinary Multi-platform Observing system (atmospheric, river and oceanographic stations, satellite monitoring) Numerical models of atmosphere, marine and river hydrodynamcs, underground waters coupled to water quality and sediment transport models Climate change scenario simulations coupled to regional/local models High quality input data to policy makers for the environmental assessment of surface, underground, marine and urban waters 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Observational Module: results New hydrological and water quality station in Fraskanjel (Bojana river) 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Large scale oceanographic surveys in Montenegro coastal waters and Bokakotorska Bay Observational Module: results 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea The ADRICOSM-STAR new coastal integrated observational and modelling approach Monitoring, forecasting and Climate scenario impacts Coastal area Urban waters River Underground Waters Atmospheric and climate models 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Bojana river modelling Calibrated model of the river flow Jan. 2003Dec /29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Oceanographic modelling Upgrades of the large scale Adriatic forecasting at 2 km resolution, daily forecasts 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea 150m res 50m res 100m res 50m res Montenegro coastal strip model nested into the Adriatic model Oceanographic modelling 12/29/2013

Bojana river suspended sediments Simulation (1 month in May 2008)

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Atmospheric modelling: downscaling of CMCC-IPCC scenarios 12/29/2013 Downscaling model area for atmosphere Input from CMCC global model

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Scenario A1B (intermediate greenhouse gases) 0C0C 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Precipitation and wind difference scenario ( ) – today ( ) PrecipitationWind magnitude 12/29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Marine temperatures and currents: scenario ( ) today ( ) Surface Current (m/s) and Temperature (°C) Surface Current (m/s) and Temperature (°C) /29/2013

CMCC – Centro euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea Final remarks ADRICOSM-STAR is successfully achieving the project goals ADRICOSM-STAR is successfully achieving the project goals Results show the emergence of climate change signals in the Montenegro coastal area for the period Results show the emergence of climate change signals in the Montenegro coastal area for the period Innovative integrated modelling has been demonstrated, needs to be continued Innovative integrated modelling has been demonstrated, needs to be continued ADRICOSM-STAR high quality data promise to be an important input for environmental policy makers ADRICOSM-STAR high quality data promise to be an important input for environmental policy makers 12/29/2013