Climate Change: Frameworks for Policy and Action Chris Beauman 19 January 2006.

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Presentation transcript:

Climate Change: Frameworks for Policy and Action Chris Beauman 19 January 2006

Total GHG Emissions and Relative Sectoral Shares (2000, all GHGs; including Land Use Change/Forestry) Pew Center on Global Climate Change: World Resources Institute August 2005

Projections of Future GHG Emissions 57% 35% 84% 39% 118% 19% 42% 70% 80% 68% 26% 124% Source: Sustainable Energy Advisory Board 18 September 2005 International Climate Change between Gleneagles and Montreal by H. Derwent

The Stabilization Triangle Source: Stabilization Wedges: Mitigation Tools for the Next Half-Century by R. Socolow, February 03, 2005

Fill the Stabilization Triangle with Seven Wedges Source: Stabilization Wedges: Mitigation Tools for the Next Half –Century by R. Socolow, February 03, 2005

Wedges Source: Stabilization Wedges: Mitigation Tools for the Next Half-Century by R. Socolow, February 03, 2005

From Long-Range Climate Science to Action This Day Temperature increase Gradual Warming Tipping Points 0c CO2 equivalent Build-up – 450 –500 –550 –600 –650 –700 – 750 Annual Emissions: -- US – EU – Japan – China – India – Russia -- Other Key EU Countries - Germany – UK – Spain – Italy % Reduction 12.5 (2008/12) - 20 (2012) -60 ( RCEP) - 80 Key UK Sectors - Business – Residential – Industrial Process – Public – - Road Transport - Domestic Air Transport – International Aviation - Shipping

End User Carbon Dioxide Emissions as Percentages of UK National Total Source: Review of the UK Climate Change Programme, Consultation Paper, December 2004

Index of End User Greenhouse Gas Emissions Source: Review of the UK Climate Change Programme, Consultation Paper, December 2004

Carbon Dioxide Emissions by End User, MtC Source: Review of the UK Climate Change Programme, Consultation Paper, December 2004

Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Actual/Red Scenario 2050 Source: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Decarbonising the UK Energy for a Climate Conscious Future

Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Blue/Turquoise Scenarios 2050 Source: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Decarbonising the UK Energy for a Climate Conscious Future

Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Purple/Pink Scenarios 2050 Source: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Decarbonising the UK Energy for a Climate Conscious Future