Presentation available at scottlay.com Looking Ahead Joint Special Populations Advisory Committee December 5, 2012

Topics Looking Back Looking Ahead Discussion

1910 Fresno becomes first junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer postsecondary courses

1917 Legislature enacts Junior College Act, extends courses of study to: mechanical and industrial arts household economy agriculture civic education and commerce.

1921 Legislature authorizes creation of local districts Organized under K-12 laws locally-elected governing boards State Department of Education to monitor Creation of Junior College Fund Nations first state funding

1960 formally recognized the three systems CCC mission: transfer, vocational and general ed 56 locally governed districts; 380,000 students

1967 Dept of Ed oversight deemed weak Board of Governors created Bilateral governance 76 colleges, 610,000 students

1970s s Education Employment Relations Act Proposition first enrollment fee AB Proposition 98 The Era of Change

1990s-2000s : Recession caused fee increases, cuts : Strong revenue growth increased Prop 98 guarantee, fast CCC growth. 2001: Stock market collapse 2008: Real estate, banking collapse Time of significant change.

% white CCC

% non-white CCC

Shift Happens. Are we shifting accordingly?

Three Years of Change Dramatic changes in adult and noncredit education. Significant reduction in recreational courses or lifelong learning. Limits on community college repeatability. Priority registration (forthcoming).

CCC Enrollment

K-12 Graduates Change

Proposition 30 Yes votes by age: 18-29: 69% 25-29: 61% 30-39: 53% 40-49: 47% 50-64: 48% 65+: 48% Yes: 55.3%, No: 44.7%

Budget Outlook

Proposition %-5.3% increase per year

Looking Ahead States outlook is moderately strong. K-12 graduates 4% lower in than in Students will choose employment over education. Fixed and accrued costs will escalate as % of district budgets. PERS, STRS, Retiree Health, deferred maintenance Low demand will give catch up time. Opportunities, and challenges ahead with divergent district needs.

Looking Ahead for CTE Modest Prop. 98 funding increases will strain budgets and pressure low cost programs. High demand in high cost programs -- how to fund? Increased federal accountability likely with Perkins reauthorization.